Henan Jianye vs Chongqing Tongliang Long: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chongqing Tongliang Long travel to face Henan Jianye on Saturday 29 August in the Super League, with Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Henan Jianye are 14th, in the drop zone, on 28 points after 30 matches; Chongqing Tongliang Long are 10th (lower half) with 36.
Current form
Henan Jianye, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with Shenyang Urban, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Chongqing Tongliang Long, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Dalian Zhixing, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Henan Jianye, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Chongqing Tongliang Long.
Head to head
When they last met (5 May 2026) it ended Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–1 Henan Jianye.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Henan Jianye 1.8 xG, Chongqing Tongliang Long 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Henan Jianye 63%, draw 20%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 17%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Henan Jianye 2–0 Chongqing Tongliang Long. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Henan Jianye63%fair 1.58 · @1.61
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.75
Chongqing Tongliang Long17%fair 6.05 · @5.00
2.60Expected goals
1.82Henan Jianye xG
0.78Chongqing Tongliang Long xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Henan Jianye 1.8 – 0.8 Chongqing Tongliang Long expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Henan Jianye vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Henan Jianye vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
On our numbers Henan Jianye have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Chongqing Tongliang Long 17%.
How many goals will there be in Henan Jianye vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Henan Jianye vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Our predicted score is Henan Jianye 2–0 Chongqing Tongliang Long, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Henan Jianye vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Henan Jianye vs Chongqing Tongliang Long (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
