Qingdao Youth Island v Dalian Zhixing Prediction & Expected Goals (11 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultQingdao Youth Island to win ✗42% · @2.50

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.67

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.41

Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 11 October the Super League brings Qingdao Youth Island against Dalian Zhixing at Guzhenkou University Sports Center. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Qingdao Youth Island are 8th, upper half, on 39 points after 30 matches; Dalian Zhixing are 1st (leading the league) with 52. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Qingdao Youth Island, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Wuhan Three Towns, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Dalian Zhixing, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Qingdao Jonoon, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Qingdao Youth Island 1.5 xG, Dalian Zhixing 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Qingdao Youth Island 42%, draw 23%, Dalian Zhixing 35%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Qingdao Youth Island 1–1 Dalian Zhixing. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Qingdao Youth Island42%fair 2.37 · @2.50

Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.10

Dalian Zhixing35%fair 2.87 · @2.62

2.75Expected goals

1.46Qingdao Youth Island xG

1.29Dalian Zhixing xG

61%Both score

52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–09%

2–19%

0–18%

1–28%

2–07%

From our goals model: Qingdao Youth Island 1.5 – 1.3 Dalian Zhixing expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Qingdao Youth Island to win ✗	42%	2.37	2.50 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.30	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	61%	1.63	1.67
Draw no bet	Qingdao Youth Island (draw no bet) ✗	55%	1.83	–
Asian handicap	Dalian Zhixing +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	75%	1.33	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	52%	1.93	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	70%	1.42	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	86%	1.17	–
First team to score	Qingdao Youth Island to score first ✗	50%	2.02	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	42%	2.40	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Qingdao Youth Island / FT Qingdao Youth Island ✗	24%	4.16	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.41	–

Qingdao Youth Island – last 6

DDWDDW

5 Sep	@ Wuhan Three Towns	2–2	D
29 Aug	@ Tianjin Teda	1–1	D
22 Aug	vs Shandong Luneng	2–0	W
14 Aug	vs Chongqing Tongliang Long	0–0	D
9 Aug	@ Henan Jianye	0–0	D
2 Aug	vs Qingdao Jonoon	2–0	W

1.2Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Dalian Zhixing – last 6

WWDWDL

5 Sep	vs Qingdao Jonoon	2–1	W
1 Sep	vs Shanghai Shenhua	1–0	W
28 Aug	vs Beijing Guoan	1–1	D
23 Aug	@ Chongqing Tongliang Long	1–0	W
19 Aug	@ SHANGHAI SIPG	1–1	D
15 Aug	@ Yunnan Yukun	1–3	L

1.2Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dalian Zhixing	30	16	4	10	+5	52
2	Chengdu Better City	30	15	7	8	+15	52
3	Beijing Guoan	30	15	10	5	+22	50
4	Shandong Luneng	30	16	5	9	+11	47
5	SHANGHAI SIPG	30	14	8	8	+19	45
6	Yunnan Yukun	30	12	7	11	-2	43
7	Shanghai Shenhua	30	15	5	10	+17	40
8	Qingdao Youth Island	30	8	15	7	-10	39
9	Hangzhou Greentown	30	12	6	12	+1	37
10	Chongqing Tongliang Long	30	8	12	10	-4	36
11	Sichuan Jiuniu	30	9	6	15	-12	33
12	Tianjin Teda	30	11	8	11	+2	31
13	Shenyang Urban	30	8	5	17	-16	29
14	Henan Jianye	30	8	10	12	-8	28
15	Wuhan Three Towns	30	5	12	13	-12	22
16	Qingdao Jonoon	30	6	4	20	-28	15

Team

Pts

+15

+22

+11

+19

-2

+17

-10

Chongqing Tongliang Long

-4

-12

-16

-8

-12

-28

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing?

On our numbers Qingdao Youth Island have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dalian Zhixing 35%.

How many goals will there be in Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing?

Our predicted score is Qingdao Youth Island 1–1 Dalian Zhixing, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing?

Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Guzhenkou University Sports Center.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Qingdao Youth Island v Dalian Zhixing: numbers & prediction