Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Shandong Luneng to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultShandong Luneng to win ✗42% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.39
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:35 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Chongqing Tongliang Long v Shandong Luneng in the Super League, played at Longxing Football Stadium. In the table, Chongqing Tongliang Long are 10th, lower half, on 36 points after 30 matches; Shandong Luneng are 4th (among the top four) with 47.
Current form
Chongqing Tongliang Long, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Shanghai Shenhua, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Shandong Luneng, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sichuan Jiuniu, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Shandong Luneng, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Chongqing Tongliang Long.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chongqing Tongliang Long 1.4 xG, Shandong Luneng 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chongqing Tongliang Long 35%, draw 23%, Shandong Luneng 42%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Shandong Luneng to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–1 Shandong Luneng. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chongqing Tongliang Long35%fair 2.82 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.25
Shandong Luneng42%fair 2.38 · @2.62
2.85Expected goals
1.35Chongqing Tongliang Long xG
1.50Shandong Luneng xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Chongqing Tongliang Long 1.4 – 1.5 Shandong Luneng expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shandong Luneng to win✗
42%
2.38
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.60
Draw no bet
Shandong Luneng (draw no bet)
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Chongqing Tongliang Long +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Shandong Luneng to score first✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shandong Luneng / FT Shandong Luneng✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.39
–
Recent results
Chongqing Tongliang Long – last 6
LLDLDL
6 Sep
vs Shanghai Shenhua
1–3
L
2 Sep
@ Yunnan Yukun
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Henan Jianye
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Dalian Zhixing
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Qingdao Youth Island
0–0
D
9 Aug
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
2–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Shandong Luneng – last 6
DLWLWW
5 Sep
vs Sichuan Jiuniu
1–1
D
1 Sep
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
0–3
L
28 Aug
@ Shanghai Shenhua
3–2
W
22 Aug
@ Qingdao Youth Island
0–2
L
14 Aug
vs Qingdao Jonoon
3–1
W
9 Aug
vs Tianjin Teda
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chongqing Tongliang Long and Shandong Luneng.
What is the prediction for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng?
On our numbers Chongqing Tongliang Long have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Shandong Luneng 42%.
How many goals will there be in Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng?
Our predicted score is Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–1 Shandong Luneng, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng?
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Longxing Football Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
