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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Yunnan Yukun v Chongqing Tongliang Long: numbers & prediction

Super League · China · Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium
Yunnan Yukun 63%Draw 23%Chongqing Tongliang Long 14% Expected goals 2.22 – 1.00
63%
Betarazi pick

Yunnan Yukun to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultYunnan Yukun to win ✗63% · @1.57
Double chanceYunnan Yukun or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16

Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:35 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Yunnan Yukun v Chongqing Tongliang Long in the Super League, played at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium. In the table, Yunnan Yukun are 6th, upper half, on 43 points after 30 matches; Chongqing Tongliang Long are 10th (lower half) with 36.

Current form

Yunnan Yukun, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 1–7 defeat to Shanghai Shenhua, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Chongqing Tongliang Long, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Shandong Luneng, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Yunnan Yukun, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Chongqing Tongliang Long.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Sep 2026) it ended Yunnan Yukun 1–0 Chongqing Tongliang Long. The last 2 head-to-heads: Yunnan Yukun 1 win, Chongqing Tongliang Long 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 0.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Yunnan Yukun 2.2 xG, Chongqing Tongliang Long 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Yunnan Yukun 63%, draw 23%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Yunnan Yukun or draw (86%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Yunnan Yukun to win (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yunnan Yukun 2–0 Chongqing Tongliang Long. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Yunnan Yukun63%fair 1.59 · @1.57
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @4.00
Chongqing Tongliang Long14%fair 7.40 · @4.80
3.22Expected goals
2.22Yunnan Yukun xG
1.00Chongqing Tongliang Long xG
59%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Yunnan Yukun 2.2 – 1.0 Chongqing Tongliang Long expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultYunnan Yukun to win ✗63%1.591.57
Double chanceYunnan Yukun or draw ✓86%1.161.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.57
Draw no betYunnan Yukun (draw no bet)82%1.21–
Asian handicapYunnan Yukun -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
First team to scoreYunnan Yukun to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultYunnan Yukun ahead at half-time ✓48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Yunnan Yukun / FT Yunnan Yukun ✗43%2.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.16–

Recent results

Yunnan Yukun – last 6

LWWLDW
10 Oct@ Shanghai Shenhua1–7L
6 Sepvs Shenyang Urban5–0W
2 Sepvs Chongqing Tongliang Long1–0W
29 Aug@ Hangzhou Greentown0–6L
22 Aug@ Beijing Guoan3–3D
15 Augvs Dalian Zhixing3–1W
2.2Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Chongqing Tongliang Long – last 6

DLLDLD
11 Octvs Shandong Luneng1–1D
6 Sepvs Shanghai Shenhua1–3L
2 Sep@ Yunnan Yukun0–1L
29 Aug@ Henan Jianye1–1D
23 Augvs Dalian Zhixing0–1L
14 Aug@ Qingdao Youth Island0–0D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Sep 2026Yunnan Yukun v Chongqing Tongliang Long1–0
20 May 2026Chongqing Tongliang Long v Yunnan Yukun0–0
Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dalian Zhixing3016410+552
2Chengdu Better City301578+1552
3Beijing Guoan3015105+2250
4Shandong Luneng301659+1147
5SHANGHAI SIPG301488+1945
6Yunnan Yukun3012711-243
7Shanghai Shenhua3015510+1740
8Qingdao Youth Island308157-1039
9Hangzhou Greentown3012612+137
10Chongqing Tongliang Long3081210-436
11Sichuan Jiuniu309615-1233
12Tianjin Teda3011811+231
13Shenyang Urban308517-1629
14Henan Jianye3081012-828
15Wuhan Three Towns3051213-1222
16Qingdao Jonoon306420-2815

More Super League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Our pick is Yunnan Yukun to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

On our numbers Yunnan Yukun have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chongqing Tongliang Long 14%.

How many goals will there be in Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Our predicted score is Yunnan Yukun 2–0 Chongqing Tongliang Long, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.