Value bet: Shandong Luneng to win @ 1.70 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultShandong Luneng to win ✓63% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Super League brings Shandong Luneng against Hangzhou Greentown at Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Shandong Luneng are 4th, among the top four, on 47 points after 30 matches; Hangzhou Greentown are 9th (lower half) with 37.
Current form
Shandong Luneng, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Chongqing Tongliang Long, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Hangzhou Greentown, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to SHANGHAI SIPG, at home. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (20 May 2026) it ended Hangzhou Greentown 4–1 Shandong Luneng.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shandong Luneng 2.2 xG, Hangzhou Greentown 1.2 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shandong Luneng 63%, draw 15%, Hangzhou Greentown 22%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.30.
Price worth noting: Shandong Luneng to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shandong Luneng 2–1 Hangzhou Greentown. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shandong Luneng63%fair 1.59 · @1.70
Draw15%fair 6.76 · @4.20
Hangzhou Greentown22%fair 4.46 · @3.80
3.43Expected goals
2.22Shandong Luneng xG
1.21Hangzhou Greentown xG
69%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Shandong Luneng 2.2 – 1.2 Hangzhou Greentown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown?
On our numbers Shandong Luneng have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Hangzhou Greentown 22%.
How many goals will there be in Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown?
Our predicted score is Shandong Luneng 2–1 Hangzhou Greentown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown?
Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
