Chongqing Tongliang Long v Qingdao Jonoon Prediction & Expected Goals (24 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultChongqing Tongliang Long to win ✓68% · @1.25

Double chanceChongqing Tongliang Long or draw ✓89% · @1.04

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.05

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50

Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

08:30 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Chongqing Tongliang Long v Qingdao Jonoon in the Super League, played at Tongliang Long Stadium. In the table, Chongqing Tongliang Long are 10th, lower half, on 36 points after 30 matches; Qingdao Jonoon are 16th (in the drop zone) with 15. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Chongqing Tongliang Long, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Yunnan Yukun, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Qingdao Jonoon, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Shenyang Urban, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Chongqing Tongliang Long, collecting 0.5 points per game to 0.0 for Qingdao Jonoon.

Head to head

When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Qingdao Jonoon 0–1 Chongqing Tongliang Long.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chongqing Tongliang Long 2.1 xG, Qingdao Jonoon 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Chongqing Tongliang Long 68%, draw 21%, Qingdao Jonoon 11%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Chongqing Tongliang Long to win (68%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chongqing Tongliang Long 2–0 Qingdao Jonoon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chongqing Tongliang Long68%fair 1.48 · @1.25

Draw21%fair 4.78 · @5.00

Qingdao Jonoon11%fair 8.73 · @11.00

2.80Expected goals

2.07Chongqing Tongliang Long xG

0.73Qingdao Jonoon xG

54%Both score

53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%

1–013%

2–110%

1–19%

3–09%

3–17%

From our goals model: Chongqing Tongliang Long 2.1 – 0.7 Qingdao Jonoon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Chongqing Tongliang Long to win ✓	68%	1.48	1.25
Double chance	Chongqing Tongliang Long or draw ✓	89%	1.13	1.04
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	54%	1.86	2.05 ▲
Draw no bet	Chongqing Tongliang Long (draw no bet) ✓	86%	1.17	–
Asian handicap	Chongqing Tongliang Long -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	68%	1.46	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	53%	1.88	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	–
First team to score	Chongqing Tongliang Long to score first ✓	69%	1.44	–
Half-time result	Chongqing Tongliang Long ahead at half-time ✓	49%	2.05	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Chongqing Tongliang Long / FT Chongqing Tongliang Long ✓	44%	2.25	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.50	–

Chongqing Tongliang Long – last 6

DDLLDL

17 Oct	@ Yunnan Yukun	1–1	D
11 Oct	vs Shandong Luneng	1–1	D
6 Sep	vs Shanghai Shenhua	1–3	L
2 Sep	@ Yunnan Yukun	0–1	L
29 Aug	@ Henan Jianye	1–1	D
23 Aug	vs Dalian Zhixing	0–1	L

0.7Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Qingdao Jonoon – last 6

LLLLLL

17 Oct	vs Shenyang Urban	0–4	L
9 Oct	vs Beijing Guoan	0–3	L
5 Sep	@ Dalian Zhixing	1–2	L
29 Aug	vs Wuhan Three Towns	1–5	L
23 Aug	@ SHANGHAI SIPG	1–2	L
14 Aug	@ Shandong Luneng	1–3	L

0.7Scored / game

3.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dalian Zhixing	30	16	4	10	+5	52
2	Chengdu Better City	30	15	7	8	+15	52
3	Beijing Guoan	30	15	10	5	+22	50
4	Shandong Luneng	30	16	5	9	+11	47
5	SHANGHAI SIPG	30	14	8	8	+19	45
6	Yunnan Yukun	30	12	7	11	-2	43
7	Shanghai Shenhua	30	15	5	10	+17	40
8	Qingdao Youth Island	30	8	15	7	-10	39
9	Hangzhou Greentown	30	12	6	12	+1	37
10	Chongqing Tongliang Long	30	8	12	10	-4	36
11	Sichuan Jiuniu	30	9	6	15	-12	33
12	Tianjin Teda	30	11	8	11	+2	31
13	Shenyang Urban	30	8	5	17	-16	29
14	Henan Jianye	30	8	10	12	-8	28
15	Wuhan Three Towns	30	5	12	13	-12	22
16	Qingdao Jonoon	30	6	4	20	-28	15

Team

Pts

+15

+22

+11

+19

-2

+17

-10

Chongqing Tongliang Long

-4

-12

-16

-8

-12

-28

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Our pick is Chongqing Tongliang Long to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon?

On our numbers Chongqing Tongliang Long have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Qingdao Jonoon 11%.

How many goals will there be in Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Our predicted score is Chongqing Tongliang Long 2–0 Qingdao Jonoon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Tongliang Long Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Chongqing Tongliang Long v Qingdao Jonoon: numbers & prediction