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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Henan Jianye v Beijing Guoan: numbers & prediction

Super League · China · Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium
3–4
FT
Henan Jianye 31%Draw 21%Beijing Guoan 47% Expected goals 1.25 – 1.59
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultBeijing Guoan to win ✓47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.81

Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 24 October the Super League brings Henan Jianye against Beijing Guoan at Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium. Kick-off: 08:30 WAT. In the table, Henan Jianye are 14th, in the drop zone, on 28 points after 30 matches; Beijing Guoan are 3rd (among the top four) with 50. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Henan Jianye, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tianjin Teda, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Beijing Guoan, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Qingdao Youth Island, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Beijing Guoan, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.8 for Henan Jianye.

Head to head

When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended Beijing Guoan 1–2 Henan Jianye.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Henan Jianye 1.2 xG, Beijing Guoan 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Henan Jianye 31%, draw 21%, Beijing Guoan 47%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Henan Jianye 1–1 Beijing Guoan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Henan Jianye31%fair 3.18 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.40
Beijing Guoan47%fair 2.12 · @2.10
2.84Expected goals
1.25Henan Jianye xG
1.59Beijing Guoan xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
0–27%
1–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Henan Jianye 1.2 – 1.6 Beijing Guoan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBeijing Guoan to win ✓47%2.122.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.40
Draw no betBeijing Guoan (draw no bet) ✓60%1.67–
Asian handicapHenan Jianye +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.85–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.46–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.19–
First team to scoreBeijing Guoan to score first ✗53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT Beijing Guoan / FT Beijing Guoan ✗27%3.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.81–

Recent results

Henan Jianye – last 6

LDDDDD
16 Octvs Tianjin Teda0–1L
9 Oct@ Sichuan Jiuniu2–2D
12 Sep@ Wuhan Three Towns1–1D
6 Sepvs Chengdu Better City0–0D
29 Augvs Chongqing Tongliang Long1–1D
23 Aug@ Shenyang Urban4–4D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Beijing Guoan – last 6

WWWWDW
18 Octvs Qingdao Youth Island1–0W
13 Oct@ Buriram United1–0W
9 Oct@ Qingdao Jonoon3–0W
15 Sepvs Pohang Steelers3–1W
5 Sep@ SHANGHAI SIPG0–0D
1 Sepvs Rizhao Yuqi3–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 May 2026Beijing Guoan v Henan Jianye1–2
Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dalian Zhixing3016410+552
2Chengdu Better City301578+1552
3Beijing Guoan3015105+2250
4Shandong Luneng301659+1147
5SHANGHAI SIPG301488+1945
6Yunnan Yukun3012711-243
7Shanghai Shenhua3015510+1740
8Qingdao Youth Island308157-1039
9Hangzhou Greentown3012612+137
10Chongqing Tongliang Long3081210-436
11Sichuan Jiuniu309615-1233
12Tianjin Teda3011811+231
13Shenyang Urban308517-1629
14Henan Jianye3081012-828
15Wuhan Three Towns3051213-1222
16Qingdao Jonoon306420-2815

More Super League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan?

On our numbers Henan Jianye have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Beijing Guoan 47%.

How many goals will there be in Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan?

Our predicted score is Henan Jianye 1–1 Beijing Guoan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan?

Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.