Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗11% · fair 9.35
Pogradeci vs Lushnja: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:30 WAT, Saturday 21 February: Pogradeci v Lushnja in the 1st Division.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pogradeci 2.3 xG, Lushnja 0.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pogradeci 73%, draw 17%, Lushnja 9%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pogradeci to win (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogradeci 2–0 Lushnja. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pogradeci73%fair 1.36 · @1.36
Draw17%fair 5.78 · @4.20
Lushnja9%fair 10.60 · @8.00
2.89Expected goals
2.26Pogradeci xG
0.63Lushnja xG
43%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–013%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Pogradeci 2.3 – 0.6 Lushnja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogradeci to win✓
73%
1.36
1.36
Double chance
Pogradeci or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
–
Draw no bet
Pogradeci (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
Pogradeci -1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Pogradeci to score first✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Pogradeci ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogradeci / FT Pogradeci✓
50%
2.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
11%
9.35
–
Recent results
Pogradeci – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Burreli
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Lushnja – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogradeci and Lushnja.
Our pick is Pogradeci to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Pogradeci vs Lushnja?
On our numbers Pogradeci have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Lushnja 9%.
How many goals will there be in Pogradeci vs Lushnja?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogradeci vs Lushnja?
Our predicted score is Pogradeci 2–0 Lushnja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Pogradeci vs Lushnja?
Pogradeci vs Lushnja (1st Division) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Laci2
Luftëtari1
Skenderbeu Korce2