Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.30
Apolonia Fier vs Pogradeci: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Apolonia Fier welcome Pogradeci to Stadiumi Loni Papuciu for a 1st Division fixture on Saturday 28 February (13:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Apolonia Fier 1.0 xG, Pogradeci 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Apolonia Fier 22%, draw 25%, Pogradeci 53%.
Lower-risk option: Pogradeci or draw (78%) at 1.22.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pogradeci or draw (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Apolonia Fier 1–1 Pogradeci. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Apolonia Fier22%fair 4.52 · @4.20
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.30
Pogradeci53%fair 1.90 · @1.73
2.56Expected goals
1.00Apolonia Fier xG
1.56Pogradeci xG
45%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Apolonia Fier 1.0 – 1.6 Pogradeci expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogradeci to win✓
53%
1.90
1.73
Double chance
Pogradeci or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
–
Draw no bet
Pogradeci (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Apolonia Fier +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Pogradeci to score first✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogradeci / FT Pogradeci✓
30%
3.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.30
–
Recent results
Apolonia Fier – last 1
L
22 Feb
@ Kastrioti Krujë
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Pogradeci – last 2
WW
21 Feb
vs Lushnja
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs Burreli
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Apolonia Fier and Pogradeci.
What is the prediction for Apolonia Fier vs Pogradeci?
Our pick is Pogradeci or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Apolonia Fier vs Pogradeci?
On our numbers Apolonia Fier have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pogradeci 53%.
How many goals will there be in Apolonia Fier vs Pogradeci?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Apolonia Fier vs Pogradeci?
Our predicted score is Apolonia Fier 1–1 Pogradeci, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Apolonia Fier vs Pogradeci?
Apolonia Fier vs Pogradeci (1st Division) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadiumi Loni Papuciu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lushnja1
Laci5