Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✓9% · fair 11.70
Burreli vs Pogradeci: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Burreli v Pogradeci in the 1st Division, played at Liri Ballabani Stadium. In the table, Burreli are 10th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 10 matches; Pogradeci are 5th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Burreli, last 4: LLDL Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Kastrioti Krujë, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Pogradeci, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Iliria Fushë-Krujë, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Pogradeci, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.3 for Burreli.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Pogradeci 2–0 Burreli.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Burreli 0.7 xG, Pogradeci 1.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Burreli 10%, draw 20%, Pogradeci 69%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burreli 1–2 Pogradeci. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Burreli10%fair 9.62 · @17.00
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @6.50
Pogradeci69%fair 1.44 · @1.12
2.61Expected goals
0.70Burreli xG
1.91Pogradeci xG
43%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–39%
0–07%
From our goals model: Burreli 0.7 – 1.9 Pogradeci expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Burreli vs Pogradeci?
On our numbers Burreli have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Pogradeci 69%.
How many goals will there be in Burreli vs Pogradeci?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burreli vs Pogradeci?
Our predicted score is Burreli 1–2 Pogradeci, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Burreli vs Pogradeci?
Burreli vs Pogradeci (1st Division) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Liri Ballabani Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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