Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗12% · fair 8.52
Palmeiras vs Capivariano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 February the Paulista A1 brings Palmeiras against Capivariano at Arena Barueri. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Palmeiras 2.0 xG, Capivariano 0.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 42%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Palmeiras 76%, draw 16%, Capivariano 8%.
GG/NG: NG (58%) at 1.42.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (70%, odds 1.48 – longer than our fair 1.43, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Palmeiras 2–0 Capivariano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Palmeiras76%fair 1.31 · @1.17
Draw16%fair 6.32 · @6.00
Capivariano8%fair 12.42 · @21.00
2.47Expected goals
2.03Palmeiras xG
0.44Capivariano xG
42%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–017%
1–017%
3–012%
0–08%
2–18%
1–18%
From our goals model: Palmeiras 2.0 – 0.4 Capivariano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palmeiras to win✓
76%
1.31
1.17
Double chance
Palmeiras or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.42
Draw no bet
Palmeiras (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.11
–
Asian handicap
Palmeiras -1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.18
First team to score
Palmeiras to score first✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Palmeiras ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palmeiras / FT Palmeiras✓
49%
2.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
12%
8.52
–
Recent results
Palmeiras – last 2
DW
16 Feb
vs Guarani Campinas
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Internacional
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Capivariano – last 1
W
16 Feb
@ Botafogo SP
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Palmeiras and Capivariano.
What is the prediction for Palmeiras vs Capivariano?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Palmeiras vs Capivariano?
On our numbers Palmeiras have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Capivariano 8%.
How many goals will there be in Palmeiras vs Capivariano?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palmeiras vs Capivariano?
Our predicted score is Palmeiras 2–0 Capivariano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Palmeiras vs Capivariano?
Palmeiras vs Capivariano (Paulista A1) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Barueri.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A1 · Brazil · Arena Barueri
Novorizontino2
Santos1