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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Valentine v Weston Bears: numbers & prediction

Northern NSW NPL · Australia · Croudace Bay Complex

Valentine

WLWWL
0–0
FT

Weston Bears

WDLWW
Valentine 16%Draw 22%Weston Bears 62% Expected goals 1.10 – 2.28
62%
Betarazi pick

Weston Bears to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultWeston Bears to win ✗62% · @1.53
Double chanceWeston Bears or draw ✓84% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.27

Valentine vs Weston Bears: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

05:00 WAT, Sunday 16 August: Valentine v Weston Bears in the Northern NSW NPL, played at Croudace Bay Complex.

Current form

Valentine, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Hamilton Olympic, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Weston Bears, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Adamstown Rosebuds, at home. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (9 May 2026) it ended Weston Bears 0–2 Valentine.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Valentine 1.1 xG, Weston Bears 2.3 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Valentine 16%, draw 22%, Weston Bears 62%.
  • Lower-risk option: Weston Bears or draw (84%) at 1.13.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Weston Bears to win (62%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valentine 1–2 Weston Bears. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Valentine16%fair 6.31 · @4.33
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @4.20
Weston Bears62%fair 1.60 · @1.53
3.38Expected goals
1.10Valentine xG
2.28Weston Bears xG
53%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%

From our goals model: Valentine 1.1 – 2.3 Weston Bears expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWeston Bears to win ✗62%1.601.53
Double chanceWeston Bears or draw ✓84%1.191.13
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.87–
Draw no betWeston Bears (draw no bet)80%1.25–
Asian handicapWeston Bears -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓53%1.881.80
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
First team to scoreWeston Bears to score first ✗65%1.54–
Half-time resultWeston Bears ahead at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Weston Bears / FT Weston Bears ✗42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.27–

Recent results

Valentine – last 6

WLWWLD
8 Aug@ Hamilton Olympic2–1W
1 Aug@ Adamstown Rosebuds1–2L
25 Julvs Charlestown City Blues1–0W
12 Julvs Kahibah3–2W
3 Jul@ Cooks Hill United1–3L
27 Junvs Lambton Jaffas1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Weston Bears – last 6

WDLWWW
12 Augvs Adamstown Rosebuds4–2W
8 Aug@ Edgeworth Eagles0–0D
26 Julvs Melbourne City0–3L
18 Julvs Kahibah5–2W
15 Jul@ Charlestown City Blues5–0W
11 Julvs Lambton Jaffas3–2W
2.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 May 2026Weston Bears v Valentine0–2
Valentine vs Weston Bears head-to-head page →

More Northern NSW NPL predictions

FT Broadmeadow Magic8 Charlestown City Blues0 170%1.25X18%5.40211%7.40 2.6–1.0xG 1Broadmeadow Magic to win 70%@1.25 ✓
FT Maitland2 Edgeworth Eagles1 136%2.45X20%3.55244%2.33 1.5–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 58%@1.55 ✓
FT Lambton Jaffas2 Hamilton Olympic0 162%1.85X15%3.65223%3.30 2.2–1.3xG 1Lambton Jaffas to win 62%@1.85 ✓
FT Belmont Swansea2 Adamstown Rosebuds3 144%2.33X19%3.85237%2.33 2.0–1.8xG O3.5Over 3.5 goals 53%@1.73 ✓
FT Kahibah2 Cooks Hill United4 160%1.68X21%4.20220%3.45 2.4–1.3xG 1XKahibah or draw 80%@1.20 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Valentine vs Weston Bears?

Our pick is Weston Bears to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Valentine vs Weston Bears?

On our numbers Valentine have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Weston Bears 62%.

How many goals will there be in Valentine vs Weston Bears?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Valentine vs Weston Bears?

Our predicted score is Valentine 1–2 Weston Bears, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Valentine vs Weston Bears?

Valentine vs Weston Bears (Northern NSW NPL) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Croudace Bay Complex.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.