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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Belmont Swansea v Adamstown Rosebuds: numbers & prediction

Northern NSW NPL · Australia · Blacksmiths Oval

Belmont Swansea

WLLLW
2–3
FT

Adamstown Rosebuds

LDWLL
Belmont Swansea 44%Draw 19%Adamstown Rosebuds 37% Expected goals 2.00 – 1.81
53%
Betarazi pick

Over 3.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.90 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultBelmont Swansea to win ✗44% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.46

Belmont Swansea vs Adamstown Rosebuds: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Belmont Swansea welcome Adamstown Rosebuds to Blacksmiths Oval for a Northern NSW NPL fixture on Sunday 16 August (05:00 WAT).

Current form

Belmont Swansea, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lambton Jaffas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Adamstown Rosebuds, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Weston Bears, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (9 May 2026) it ended Adamstown Rosebuds 2–2 Belmont Swansea.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Belmont Swansea 2.0 xG, Adamstown Rosebuds 1.8 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 73% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Belmont Swansea 44%, draw 19%, Adamstown Rosebuds 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 3.5 goals (53%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Belmont Swansea 2–2 Adamstown Rosebuds. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Belmont Swansea44%fair 2.26 · @2.33
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @3.85
Adamstown Rosebuds37%fair 2.74 · @2.33
3.81Expected goals
2.00Belmont Swansea xG
1.81Adamstown Rosebuds xG
57%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%

From our goals model: Belmont Swansea 2.0 – 1.8 Adamstown Rosebuds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBelmont Swansea to win ✗44%2.262.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.77–
Draw no betBelmont Swansea (draw no bet) ✗55%1.83–
Asian handicapAdamstown Rosebuds +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓53%1.901.73
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗67%1.50–
First team to scoreBelmont Swansea to score first ✓51%1.95–
Half-time resultBelmont Swansea ahead at half-time ✓35%2.84–
Half-time / full-timeHT Belmont Swansea / FT Belmont Swansea ✗27%3.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.46–

Recent results

Belmont Swansea – last 6

WLLLWW
8 Augvs Lambton Jaffas2–1W
2 Aug@ Edgeworth Eagles0–2L
26 Jul@ Kahibah1–3L
22 Jul@ Hamilton Olympic2–5L
27 Jun@ Charlestown City Blues3–1W
20 Junvs Broadmeadow Magic1–0W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Adamstown Rosebuds – last 6

LDWLLW
12 Aug@ Weston Bears2–4L
8 Augvs Cooks Hill United2–2D
1 Augvs Valentine2–1W
11 Jul@ Maitland1–3L
27 Jun@ Edgeworth Eagles2–3L
24 Jun@ Kahibah2–1W
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 May 2026Adamstown Rosebuds v Belmont Swansea2–2
Belmont Swansea vs Adamstown Rosebuds head-to-head page →

More Northern NSW NPL predictions

FT Broadmeadow Magic8 Charlestown City Blues0 170%1.25X18%5.40211%7.40 2.6–1.0xG 1Broadmeadow Magic to win 70%@1.25 ✓
FT Maitland2 Edgeworth Eagles1 136%2.45X20%3.55244%2.33 1.5–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 58%@1.55 ✓
FT Lambton Jaffas2 Hamilton Olympic0 162%1.85X15%3.65223%3.30 2.2–1.3xG 1Lambton Jaffas to win 62%@1.85 ✓
FT Valentine0 Weston Bears0 116%4.33X22%4.20262%1.53 1.1–2.3xG 2Weston Bears to win 62%@1.53 ✗
FT Kahibah2 Cooks Hill United4 160%1.68X21%4.20220%3.45 2.4–1.3xG 1XKahibah or draw 80%@1.20 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Belmont Swansea vs Adamstown Rosebuds?

Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Belmont Swansea vs Adamstown Rosebuds?

On our numbers Belmont Swansea have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Adamstown Rosebuds 37%.

How many goals will there be in Belmont Swansea vs Adamstown Rosebuds?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Belmont Swansea vs Adamstown Rosebuds?

Our predicted score is Belmont Swansea 2–2 Adamstown Rosebuds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Belmont Swansea vs Adamstown Rosebuds?

Belmont Swansea vs Adamstown Rosebuds (Northern NSW NPL) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Blacksmiths Oval.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.