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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Moreton City Excelsior v Eastern Suburbs: numbers & prediction

Queensland NPL · Australia
Moreton City Excelsior 55%Draw 21%Eastern Suburbs 25% Expected goals 2.08 – 1.32
69%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.35Odds

Picks by market

ResultMoreton City Excelsior to win ✓55% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49

Moreton City Excelsior vs Eastern Suburbs: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

09:00 WAT, Saturday 28 March: Moreton City Excelsior v Eastern Suburbs in the Queensland NPL.

Current form

Moreton City Excelsior, last 4: WLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Rochedale Rovers, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Eastern Suburbs, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gold Coast Knights, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Moreton City Excelsior 2.1 xG, Eastern Suburbs 1.3 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Moreton City Excelsior 55%, draw 21%, Eastern Suburbs 25%.
  • GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.35.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moreton City Excelsior 2–1 Eastern Suburbs. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Moreton City Excelsior55%fair 1.83 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @4.10
Eastern Suburbs25%fair 4.07 · @3.55
3.40Expected goals
2.08Moreton City Excelsior xG
1.32Eastern Suburbs xG
69%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Moreton City Excelsior 2.1 – 1.3 Eastern Suburbs expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMoreton City Excelsior to win ✓55%1.831.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗69%1.461.35
Draw no betMoreton City Excelsior (draw no bet) ✓69%1.45–
Asian handicapEastern Suburbs +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.471.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓53%1.891.85
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.401.36
First team to scoreMoreton City Excelsior to score first ✓59%1.69–
Half-time resultMoreton City Excelsior ahead at half-time ✓42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Moreton City Excelsior / FT Moreton City Excelsior ✓35%2.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.49–

Recent results

Moreton City Excelsior – last 4

WLLW
21 Marvs Rochedale Rovers3–1W
6 Mar@ WDSC Wolves0–3L
28 Feb@ Brisbane City1–2L
20 Febvs Gold Coast Knights4–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Eastern Suburbs – last 5

LLWWL
20 Marvs Gold Coast Knights1–2L
14 Marvs Lions1–3L
7 Mar@ Brisbane City4–0W
1 Marvs Brisbane Roar II3–2W
21 Feb@ Peninsula Power0–1L
1.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Moreton City Excelsior and Eastern Suburbs.

Moreton City Excelsior vs Eastern Suburbs head-to-head page →

More Queensland NPL predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Moreton City Excelsior vs Eastern Suburbs?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Moreton City Excelsior vs Eastern Suburbs?

On our numbers Moreton City Excelsior have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Eastern Suburbs 25%.

How many goals will there be in Moreton City Excelsior vs Eastern Suburbs?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Moreton City Excelsior vs Eastern Suburbs?

Our predicted score is Moreton City Excelsior 2–1 Eastern Suburbs, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Moreton City Excelsior vs Eastern Suburbs?

Moreton City Excelsior vs Eastern Suburbs (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.