Lions 67%Draw 18%Brisbane City 15%Expected goals 2.93 – 1.30
67%
Betarazi pick
Lions to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultLions to win ✗67% · @1.44
Double chanceLions or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.32
Lions vs Brisbane City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 28 March the Queensland NPL brings Lions against Brisbane City. Kick-off: 10:30 WAT.
Current form
Lions, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Magic United, at home. 2.6 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Brisbane City, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with Olympic, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours Lions, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.4 for Brisbane City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lions 2.9 xG, Brisbane City 1.3 xG – a total near 4.2. That is an open game on paper: 79% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lions 67%, draw 18%, Brisbane City 15%.
Lower-risk option: Lions or draw (85%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lions to win (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lions 2–1 Brisbane City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lions67%fair 1.48 · @1.44
Draw18%fair 5.63 · @4.50
Brisbane City15%fair 6.76 · @5.00
4.23Expected goals
2.93Lions xG
1.30Brisbane City xG
68%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–18%
2–06%
3–06%
4–16%
1–16%
From our goals model: Lions 2.9 – 1.3 Brisbane City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lions to win✗
67%
1.48
1.44
Double chance
Lions or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Draw no bet
Lions (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Lions -1 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
–
First team to score
Lions to score first✓
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Lions ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lions / FT Lions✗
49%
2.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.32
–
Recent results
Lions – last 5
WWWDL
22 Mar
vs Magic United
4–0
W
14 Mar
@ Eastern Suburbs
3–1
W
6 Mar
@ Rochedale Rovers
3–1
W
27 Feb
vs Gold Coast Knights
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ Olympic
1–2
L
2.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Brisbane City – last 5
DLLWW
21 Mar
vs Olympic
4–4
D
14 Mar
vs Gold Coast Knights
2–4
L
7 Mar
vs Eastern Suburbs
0–4
L
28 Feb
vs Moreton City Excelsior
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Brisbane Roar II
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lions and Brisbane City.
What is the prediction for Lions vs Brisbane City?
Our pick is Lions to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Lions vs Brisbane City?
On our numbers Lions have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Brisbane City 15%.
How many goals will there be in Lions vs Brisbane City?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lions vs Brisbane City?
Our predicted score is Lions 2–1 Brisbane City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Lions vs Brisbane City?
Lions vs Brisbane City (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Queensland NPL · Australia
Moreton City Excelsior3
Eastern Suburbs0
Olympic1
Gold Coast Knights0