Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Boavista SC to win @ 2.52 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBoavista SC to win ✗43% · @2.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.27
Boavista SC vs Botafogo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Botafogo travel to face Boavista SC on Sunday 22 February in the Carioca 1, with Estádio Elcyr Resende de Mendonça the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Boavista SC 1.4 xG, Botafogo 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Boavista SC 43%, draw 27%, Botafogo 30%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Boavista SC to win @2.52 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boavista SC 1–0 Botafogo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Boavista SC43%fair 2.32 · @2.52
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.00
Botafogo30%fair 3.32 · @2.78
2.33Expected goals
1.40Boavista SC xG
0.92Botafogo xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Boavista SC 1.4 – 0.9 Botafogo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boavista SC to win✗
43%
2.32
2.52 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.85
Draw no bet
Boavista SC (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Botafogo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Boavista SC to score first✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boavista SC / FT Boavista SC✗
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.27
–
Recent results
Boavista SC – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Madureira
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Botafogo – last 2
LL
19 Feb
@ Nacional Potosí
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Flamengo
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Boavista SC and Botafogo.
What is the prediction for Boavista SC vs Botafogo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Boavista SC vs Botafogo?
On our numbers Boavista SC have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Botafogo 30%.
How many goals will there be in Boavista SC vs Botafogo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boavista SC vs Botafogo?
Our predicted score is Boavista SC 1–0 Botafogo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Boavista SC vs Botafogo?
Boavista SC vs Botafogo (Carioca 1) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Elcyr Resende de Mendonça.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Carioca 1 · Brazil · Estádio Elcyr Resende de Mendonça
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