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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Barcelona W v Real Madrid W: numbers & prediction

UEFA Champions League Women · Europe · Spotify Camp Nou
6–0
FT
Barcelona W 79%Draw 13%Real Madrid W 8% Expected goals 3.24 – 1.06
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultBarcelona W to win ✓79% · @1.10
Double chanceBarcelona W or draw ✓92% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.26

Barcelona W vs Real Madrid W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Real Madrid W travel to face Barcelona W on Thursday 2 April in the UEFA Champions League Women, with Spotify Camp Nou the venue – the ball rolls at 17:45 WAT. In the table, Barcelona W are 1st, leading the league, on 9 points after 3 matches; Real Madrid W are 8th (upper half) with 6. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Barcelona W, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Real Madrid W, away. 3.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Real Madrid W, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Barcelona W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Barcelona W, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.0 for Real Madrid W.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Real Madrid W 0–3 Barcelona W. The last 2 head-to-heads: Barcelona W 2 wins, Real Madrid W 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 5.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Barcelona W 3.2 xG, Real Madrid W 1.1 xG – a total near 4.3. That is an open game on paper: 79% for three or more goals, 51% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Barcelona W 79%, draw 13%, Real Madrid W 8%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barcelona W 3–1 Real Madrid W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Barcelona W79%fair 1.26 · @1.10
Draw13%fair 7.69 · @10.00
Real Madrid W8%fair 13.22 · @16.50
4.30Expected goals
3.24Barcelona W xG
1.06Real Madrid W xG
51%Both score
79%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–18%
3–08%
2–18%
2–07%
4–17%
4–06%

From our goals model: Barcelona W 3.2 – 1.1 Real Madrid W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Barcelona WReal Madrid W
Attack vs UEFA Champions League Women average+121%+8%
Goals conceded vs average-26%-24%
Our expected goals here3.461.17

Our own ratings from every UEFA Champions League Women result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarcelona W to win ✓79%1.261.10
Double chanceBarcelona W or draw ✓92%1.081.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.951.83
Draw no betBarcelona W (draw no bet) ✓91%1.10–
Asian handicapBarcelona W -1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.101.06
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79%1.261.20
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓62%1.621.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗57%1.761.67
First team to scoreBarcelona W to score first ✓74%1.34–
Half-time resultBarcelona W ahead at half-time ✓61%1.64–
Half-time / full-timeHT Barcelona W / FT Barcelona W ✓57%1.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8%12.26–

Recent results

Barcelona W – last 3

WWW
29 Mar@ Real Madrid W3–0W
25 Mar@ Real Madrid W6–2W
15 Mar@ Deportivo de La Coruña W2–0W
3.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Real Madrid W – last 6

LLWWWW
29 Marvs Barcelona W0–3L
25 Marvs Barcelona W2–6L
22 Mar@ Eibar W1–0W
22 Febvs Granad. Tenerife W2–0W
18 Febvs Paris FC W2–0W
15 Feb@ Alhama3–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Real Madrid W v Barcelona W0–3
25 Mar 2026Real Madrid W v Barcelona W2–6
Barcelona W vs Real Madrid W head-to-head page →

UEFA Champions League Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona W3300+179
2Bayern Munich W4220+48
3Chelsea W4220+38
4Lyon W3210+147
5Arsenal W3210+47
6Juventus W3201+56
7Manchester City W4130+36
8Real Madrid W4130+36
9Paris Saint Germain W4121+45
10Roma W4112-74
11Inter Milano W4112-84
12Køge W3102-53
13SL Benfica W3102-53
14Servette Chênois W4103-93
15Häcken W4022-42
16Paris FC W4022-62
17Austria Wien W3012-41
18OH Leuven W3012-91

More UEFA Champions League Women predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barcelona W vs Real Madrid W?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Barcelona W vs Real Madrid W?

On our numbers Barcelona W have a 79% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Real Madrid W 8%.

How many goals will there be in Barcelona W vs Real Madrid W?

We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Barcelona W vs Real Madrid W?

Our predicted score is Barcelona W 3–1 Real Madrid W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.

When is Barcelona W vs Real Madrid W?

Barcelona W vs Real Madrid W (UEFA Champions League Women) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Spotify Camp Nou.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.