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Lyon W v VfL Wolfsburg W: numbers & prediction

UEFA Champions League Women · Europe · Groupama Stadium
1–0
FTAET 4–0
Lyon W 77%Draw 14%VfL Wolfsburg W 9% Expected goals 2.66 – 0.78
68%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.35Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultLyon W to win ✓77% · @1.13
Double chanceLyon W or draw ✓91% · fair 1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.10
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.29

Lyon W vs VfL Wolfsburg W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Thursday 2 April: Lyon W v VfL Wolfsburg W in the UEFA Champions League Women, played at Groupama Stadium.

Current form

VfL Wolfsburg W, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Union Berlin W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Mar 2026) it ended VfL Wolfsburg W 1–0 Lyon W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lyon W 2.7 xG, VfL Wolfsburg W 0.8 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lyon W 77%, draw 14%, VfL Wolfsburg W 9%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lyon W 3–0 VfL Wolfsburg W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lyon W77%fair 1.30 · @1.13
Draw14%fair 7.19 · @7.80
VfL Wolfsburg W9%fair 11.03 · @18.50
3.44Expected goals
2.66Lyon W xG
0.78VfL Wolfsburg W xG
54%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–08%
3–18%
4–07%

From our goals model: Lyon W 2.7 – 0.8 VfL Wolfsburg W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Lyon WVfL Wolfsburg W
Attack vs UEFA Champions League Women average+57%-15%
Goals conceded vs average-40%-19%
Our expected goals here2.630.75

Our own ratings from every UEFA Champions League Women result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLyon W to win ✓77%1.301.13
Double chanceLyon W or draw ✓91%1.10–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.852.10 ▲
Draw no betLyon W (draw no bet) ✓89%1.12–
Asian handicapLyon W -1 (Asian handicap)71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗86%1.161.09
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68%1.461.35
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓52%1.921.90
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.411.38
First team to scoreLyon W to score first ✓75%1.34–
Half-time resultLyon W ahead at half-time ✓57%1.75–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lyon W / FT Lyon W ✓54%1.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.29–

Recent results

Lyon W – last 2

LW
24 Mar@ VfL Wolfsburg W0–1L
10 Marvs Le Havre W3–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

VfL Wolfsburg W – last 6

DWWWWL
29 Marvs Union Berlin W3–3D
24 Marvs Lyon W1–0W
18 Mar@ Carl Zeiss Jena W2–0W
15 Marvs Bayer Leverkusen W2–1W
11 Marvs Eintracht Frankfurt W1–0W
22 Feb@ Bayern Munich W1–4L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Mar 2026VfL Wolfsburg W v Lyon W1–0
Lyon W vs VfL Wolfsburg W head-to-head page →

UEFA Champions League Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona W3300+179
2Bayern Munich W4220+48
3Chelsea W4220+38
4Lyon W3210+147
5Arsenal W3210+47
6Juventus W3201+56
7Manchester City W4130+36
8Real Madrid W4130+36
9Paris Saint Germain W4121+45
10Roma W4112-74
11Inter Milano W4112-84
12Køge W3102-53
13SL Benfica W3102-53
14Servette Chênois W4103-93
15Häcken W4022-42
16Paris FC W4022-62
17Austria Wien W3012-41
18OH Leuven W3012-91

More UEFA Champions League Women predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lyon W vs VfL Wolfsburg W?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Lyon W vs VfL Wolfsburg W?

On our numbers Lyon W have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 14% and VfL Wolfsburg W 9%.

How many goals will there be in Lyon W vs VfL Wolfsburg W?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lyon W vs VfL Wolfsburg W?

Our predicted score is Lyon W 3–0 VfL Wolfsburg W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Lyon W vs VfL Wolfsburg W?

Lyon W vs VfL Wolfsburg W (UEFA Champions League Women) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Groupama Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.