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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tubize v Rochefort: numbers & prediction

First Amateur Division · Belgium · Stade Leburton

Tubize

LD
3–2
FT

Rochefort

LLW
Tubize 58%Draw 23%Rochefort 19% Expected goals 1.67 – 1.18
60%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultTubize to win ✓58% · @1.25
Double chanceTubize or draw ✓81% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50

Tubize vs Rochefort: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rochefort travel to face Tubize on Sunday 10 May in the First Amateur Division, with Stade Leburton the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Tubize are 4th, among the top four, on 21 points after 12 matches; Rochefort are 2nd (among the top four) with 22. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Rochefort, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 3–5 defeat to Excelsior Virton, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tubize 1.7 xG, Rochefort 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tubize 58%, draw 23%, Rochefort 19%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tubize 1–1 Rochefort. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tubize58%fair 1.73 · @1.25
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @5.00
Rochefort19%fair 5.14 · @9.00
2.85Expected goals
1.67Tubize xG
1.18Rochefort xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%

From our goals model: Tubize 1.7 – 1.2 Rochefort expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

TubizeRochefort
Attack vs First Amateur Division average-1%+18%
Goals conceded vs average-18%-21%
Our expected goals here1.301.38

Our own ratings from every First Amateur Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTubize to win ✓58%1.731.25
Double chanceTubize or draw ✓81%1.241.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.70
Draw no betTubize (draw no bet) ✓75%1.34–
Asian handicapRochefort +1 (Asian handicap)66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.19–
First team to scoreTubize to score first55%1.81–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tubize / FT Tubize ✗30%3.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.50–

Recent results

Tubize – last 2

LD
29 Mar@ Habay-la-Neuve0–2L
15 Feb@ Meux0–0D
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Rochefort – last 3

LLW
3 Mayvs Excelsior Virton3–5L
15 Mar@ Habay-la-Neuve0–1L
15 Feb@ Standard Liège II1–0W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tubize and Rochefort.

Tubize vs Rochefort head-to-head page →

First Amateur Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Meux12813+925
2Rochefort12642+1222
3Union Saint-Gilloise II12633+721
4Tubize12633+521
5Albert Quévy-Mons12624+820
6RWDM12624+220
7Olympic Charleroi12444-816
8Standard Liège II12426+214
9Sporting Charleroi II12354-114
10Habay-la-Neuve11335-412
11Onhaye11317-1010
12Flénu120210-222

More First Amateur Division predictions

League hub
FT Union Namur3 Sporting Charleroi II1 125%4.00X25%3.50251%1.67 1.3–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.50 ✓
FT Union Saint-Gilloise II2 Stockay-Warfusée1 153%1.85X24%3.40223%3.40 1.9–1.2xG 1XUnion Saint-Gilloise II or draw 77%@1.25 ✓
FT Standard Liège II1 Crossing Schaerbeek1 148%1.95X23%3.40228%3.00 1.5–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.53 ✓
FT Albert Quévy-Mons3 Meux0 161%1.36X23%4.00216%7.00 1.9–1.0xG 1Albert Quévy-Mons to win 61%@1.36 ✓
FT Excelsior Virton2 Habay-la-Neuve0 165%1.29X22%4.75213%8.50 2.0–0.9xG 1Excelsior Virton to win 65%@1.29 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tubize vs Rochefort?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Tubize vs Rochefort?

On our numbers Tubize have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rochefort 19%.

How many goals will there be in Tubize vs Rochefort?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tubize vs Rochefort?

Our predicted score is Tubize 1–1 Rochefort, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Tubize vs Rochefort?

Tubize vs Rochefort (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Leburton.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.