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Excelsior Virton v Habay-la-Neuve: numbers & prediction

First Amateur Division · Belgium · Stade Yvan Georges
Excelsior Virton 65%Draw 22%Habay-la-Neuve 13% Expected goals 2.01 – 0.86
65%
Betarazi pick

Excelsior Virton to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.29Odds

Picks by market

ResultExcelsior Virton to win ✓65% · @1.29
Double chanceExcelsior Virton or draw ✓87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15

Excelsior Virton vs Habay-la-Neuve: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Excelsior Virton welcome Habay-la-Neuve to Stade Yvan Georges for a First Amateur Division fixture on Sunday 10 May (14:00 WAT).

Current form

Habay-la-Neuve, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Albert Quévy-Mons, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Habay-la-Neuve 3–1 Excelsior Virton.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Excelsior Virton 2.0 xG, Habay-la-Neuve 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Excelsior Virton 65%, draw 22%, Habay-la-Neuve 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Excelsior Virton to win (65%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Excelsior Virton 2–0 Habay-la-Neuve. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Excelsior Virton65%fair 1.53 · @1.29
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @4.75
Habay-la-Neuve13%fair 7.68 · @8.50
2.87Expected goals
2.01Excelsior Virton xG
0.86Habay-la-Neuve xG
55%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Excelsior Virton 2.0 – 0.9 Habay-la-Neuve expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Excelsior VirtonHabay-la-Neuve
Attack vs First Amateur Division average+18%-27%
Goals conceded vs average+3%-22%
Our expected goals here1.590.77

Our own ratings from every First Amateur Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultExcelsior Virton to win ✓65%1.531.29
Double chanceExcelsior Virton or draw ✓87%1.151.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.811.73
Draw no betExcelsior Virton (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapExcelsior Virton -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.83–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
First team to scoreExcelsior Virton to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultExcelsior Virton ahead at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Excelsior Virton / FT Excelsior Virton ✗41%2.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.15–

Recent results

Excelsior Virton – last 2

WL
3 May@ Rochefort5–3W
1 Mar@ Habay-la-Neuve1–3L
3.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Habay-la-Neuve – last 5

LWWWD
3 Mayvs Albert Quévy-Mons0–1L
29 Marvs Tubize2–0W
15 Marvs Rochefort1–0W
1 Marvs Excelsior Virton3–1W
15 Feb@ Crossing Schaerbeek0–0D
1.2Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026Habay-la-Neuve v Excelsior Virton3–1
Excelsior Virton vs Habay-la-Neuve head-to-head page →

First Amateur Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Meux12813+925
2Rochefort12642+1222
3Union Saint-Gilloise II12633+721
4Tubize12633+521
5Albert Quévy-Mons12624+820
6RWDM12624+220
7Olympic Charleroi12444-816
8Standard Liège II12426+214
9Sporting Charleroi II12354-114
10Habay-la-Neuve11335-412
11Onhaye11317-1010
12Flénu120210-222

More First Amateur Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Excelsior Virton vs Habay-la-Neuve?

Our pick is Excelsior Virton to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Excelsior Virton vs Habay-la-Neuve?

On our numbers Excelsior Virton have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Habay-la-Neuve 13%.

How many goals will there be in Excelsior Virton vs Habay-la-Neuve?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Excelsior Virton vs Habay-la-Neuve?

Our predicted score is Excelsior Virton 2–0 Habay-la-Neuve, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Excelsior Virton vs Habay-la-Neuve?

Excelsior Virton vs Habay-la-Neuve (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Yvan Georges.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.