Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–016% · fair 6.44
ML Vitebsk vs FC Dnepr Mogilev: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 10 May the Premier League brings ML Vitebsk against FC Dnepr Mogilev at Vitebsk CSK. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, ML Vitebsk are 1st, leading the league, on 62 points after 28 matches; FC Dnepr Mogilev are 15th (in the drop zone) with 23. There are 39 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
ML Vitebsk, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Dinamo Minsk, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
FC Dnepr Mogilev, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Isloch Minsk R., away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours ML Vitebsk, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for FC Dnepr Mogilev.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ML Vitebsk 2.1 xG, FC Dnepr Mogilev 0.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ML Vitebsk 74%, draw 18%, FC Dnepr Mogilev 8%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was ML Vitebsk to win (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: ML Vitebsk 2–0 FC Dnepr Mogilev. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ML Vitebsk74%fair 1.36 · @1.22
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @5.00
FC Dnepr Mogilev8%fair 12.29 · @12.00
2.62Expected goals
2.06ML Vitebsk xG
0.56FC Dnepr Mogilev xG
47%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–016%
1–015%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: ML Vitebsk 2.1 – 0.6 FC Dnepr Mogilev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ML Vitebsk to win
74%
1.36
1.22
Double chance
ML Vitebsk or draw
92%
1.09
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
53%
1.88
1.40
Draw no bet
ML Vitebsk (draw no bet)
90%
1.11
–
Asian handicap
ML Vitebsk -1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.94
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
ML Vitebsk to score first
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
ML Vitebsk ahead at half-time
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ML Vitebsk / FT ML Vitebsk
48%
2.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0
16%
6.44
–
Recent results
ML Vitebsk – last 5
LWLWW
29 Apr
@ Dinamo Minsk
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Bate Borisov
2–1
W
15 Apr
vs Dinamo Minsk
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Dinamo Brest
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Dinamo Brest
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
FC Dnepr Mogilev – last 6
LDWLDD
26 Apr
@ FC Isloch Minsk R.
1–2
L
20 Apr
vs Torpedo Zhodino
2–2
D
10 Apr
@ Belshina
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Slavia Mozyr
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Naftan
0–0
D
18 Feb
vs FC Slutsk
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ML Vitebsk and FC Dnepr Mogilev.
What is the prediction for ML Vitebsk vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
Our pick is ML Vitebsk to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win ML Vitebsk vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
On our numbers ML Vitebsk have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 18% and FC Dnepr Mogilev 8%.
How many goals will there be in ML Vitebsk vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ML Vitebsk vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
Our predicted score is ML Vitebsk 2–0 FC Dnepr Mogilev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is ML Vitebsk vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
ML Vitebsk vs FC Dnepr Mogilev (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Vitebsk CSK.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
