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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Naftan v Bate Borisov: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Belarus · Atlant Stadium

Naftan

LLLDD
0–0
FT
Naftan 28%Draw 27%Bate Borisov 45% Expected goals 0.98 – 1.33
51%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.96 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultBate Borisov to win ✗45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.59

Naftan vs Bate Borisov: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Naftan welcome Bate Borisov to Atlant Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 10 May (14:00 WAT). In the table, Naftan are 16th, in the drop zone, on 17 points after 28 matches; Bate Borisov are 14th (in the drop zone) with 24.

Current form

Naftan, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to FC Minsk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Bate Borisov, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Slavia Mozyr, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Bate Borisov, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Naftan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Naftan 1.0 xG, Bate Borisov 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Naftan 28%, draw 27%, Bate Borisov 45%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naftan 0–1 Bate Borisov. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Naftan28%fair 3.60 · @3.20
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.00
Bate Borisov45%fair 2.23 · @2.15
2.31Expected goals
0.98Naftan xG
1.33Bate Borisov xG
49%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–29%

From our goals model: Naftan 1.0 – 1.3 Bate Borisov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBate Borisov to win ✗45%2.232.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73%1.381.35
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.961.85
Draw no betBate Borisov (draw no bet)62%1.62–
Asian handicapNaftan +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.68–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreBate Borisov to score first ✗52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bate Borisov / FT Bate Borisov ✗26%3.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13%7.59–

Recent results

Naftan – last 6

LLLDDD
1 May@ FC Minsk2–4L
10 Aprvs FC Gomel0–2L
3 Apr@ Arsenal0–2L
22 Marvs FC Dnepr Mogilev0–0D
7 Marvs FC Vitebsk1–1D
18 Feb@ Dinamo Minsk1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Bate Borisov – last 6

WLLWWD
29 Aprvs Slavia Mozyr2–0W
24 Apr@ FC Minsk0–1L
19 Aprvs ML Vitebsk1–2L
15 Apr@ Slavia Mozyr1–0W
5 Aprvs Baranovichi3–0W
21 Mar@ Neman0–0D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Naftan and Bate Borisov.

Naftan vs Bate Borisov head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1ML Vitebsk281882+4262
2FC Isloch Minsk R.281873+3161
3Dinamo Minsk281945+2861
4Dinamo Brest281567+2151
5Neman281549+949
6FC Gomel281279+1143
7FC Vitebsk2811710+340
8Torpedo Zhodino2810612-136
9FC Minsk2810513-735
10Slavia Mozyr289712-234
11Baranovichi288713-1531
12Arsenal286913-2127
13Belshina286616-2324
14Bate Borisov285914-1424
15FC Dnepr Mogilev2841113-1623
16Naftan284519-4617

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Naftan vs Bate Borisov?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Naftan vs Bate Borisov?

On our numbers Naftan have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Bate Borisov 45%.

How many goals will there be in Naftan vs Bate Borisov?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Naftan vs Bate Borisov?

Our predicted score is Naftan 0–1 Bate Borisov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Naftan vs Bate Borisov?

Naftan vs Bate Borisov (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Atlant Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.