Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultML Vitebsk to win ✓70% · @1.30
Double chanceML Vitebsk or draw ✓91% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.30
Arsenal vs ML Vitebsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
ML Vitebsk travel to face Arsenal on Sunday 17 May in the Premier League, with Haradski Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Arsenal are 12th, lower half, on 27 points after 28 matches; ML Vitebsk are 1st (leading the league) with 62. There are 35 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Arsenal, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Baranovichi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
ML Vitebsk, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Dinamo Minsk, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal 0.6 xG, ML Vitebsk 2.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal 9%, draw 20%, ML Vitebsk 70%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was ML Vitebsk to win (70%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal 0–2 ML Vitebsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arsenal9%fair 10.66 · @9.50
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @4.20
ML Vitebsk70%fair 1.42 · @1.30
2.65Expected goals
0.59Arsenal xG
2.05ML Vitebsk xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–215%
0–115%
0–310%
1–29%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Arsenal 0.6 – 2.1 ML Vitebsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ML Vitebsk to win✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Double chance
ML Vitebsk or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
ML Vitebsk (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
ML Vitebsk -1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
ML Vitebsk to score first✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
ML Vitebsk ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ML Vitebsk / FT ML Vitebsk✓
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.30
–
Recent results
Arsenal – last 6
DDWWDL
8 May
@ Baranovichi
1–1
D
1 May
vs FC Isloch Minsk R.
2–2
D
20 Apr
vs Belshina
2–0
W
3 Apr
vs Naftan
2–0
W
20 Mar
@ FC Minsk
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Slavia Mozyr
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
ML Vitebsk – last 5
LWLWW
29 Apr
@ Dinamo Minsk
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Bate Borisov
2–1
W
15 Apr
vs Dinamo Minsk
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Dinamo Brest
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Dinamo Brest
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arsenal and ML Vitebsk.
Our pick is ML Vitebsk to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Arsenal vs ML Vitebsk?
On our numbers Arsenal have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 20% and ML Vitebsk 70%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal vs ML Vitebsk?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs ML Vitebsk?
Our predicted score is Arsenal 0–2 ML Vitebsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Arsenal vs ML Vitebsk?
Arsenal vs ML Vitebsk (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Haradski Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
