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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Naftan v Slavia Mozyr: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Belarus · Atlant Stadium

Naftan

DLLLD
0–1
FT
Naftan 18%Draw 24%Slavia Mozyr 58% Expected goals 1.00 – 1.93
82%
Betarazi pick

Slavia Mozyr or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSlavia Mozyr to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceSlavia Mozyr or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Naftan vs Slavia Mozyr: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Slavia Mozyr travel to face Naftan on Sunday 17 May in the Premier League, with Atlant Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Naftan are 16th, in the drop zone, on 17 points after 28 matches; Slavia Mozyr are 10th (lower half) with 34. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Naftan, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bate Borisov, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Slavia Mozyr, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Minsk, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Naftan 1.0 xG, Slavia Mozyr 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Naftan 18%, draw 24%, Slavia Mozyr 58%.
  • Lower-risk option: Slavia Mozyr or draw (82%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Slavia Mozyr or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naftan 0–1 Slavia Mozyr. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Naftan18%fair 5.55 · @3.90
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.10
Slavia Mozyr58%fair 1.74 · @1.85
2.93Expected goals
1.00Naftan xG
1.93Slavia Mozyr xG
57%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–110%
1–110%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
1–36%

From our goals model: Naftan 1.0 – 1.9 Slavia Mozyr expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSlavia Mozyr to win ✓58%1.741.85 ▲
Double chanceSlavia Mozyr or draw ✓82%1.221.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.741.95 ▲
Draw no betSlavia Mozyr (draw no bet) ✓76%1.31–
Asian handicapNaftan +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.78–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreSlavia Mozyr to score first ✓62%1.60–
Half-time resultSlavia Mozyr ahead at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Slavia Mozyr / FT Slavia Mozyr ✗37%2.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.05–

Recent results

Naftan – last 6

DLLLDD
10 Mayvs Bate Borisov0–0D
1 May@ FC Minsk2–4L
10 Aprvs FC Gomel0–2L
3 Apr@ Arsenal0–2L
22 Marvs FC Dnepr Mogilev0–0D
7 Marvs FC Vitebsk1–1D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Slavia Mozyr – last 6

LDLDLL
9 Mayvs FC Minsk1–2L
3 May@ FC Vitebsk0–0D
29 Apr@ Bate Borisov0–2L
24 Aprvs Neman0–0D
19 Apr@ FC Gomel1–3L
15 Aprvs Bate Borisov0–1L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Naftan and Slavia Mozyr.

Naftan vs Slavia Mozyr head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1ML Vitebsk281882+4262
2FC Isloch Minsk R.281873+3161
3Dinamo Minsk281945+2861
4Dinamo Brest281567+2151
5Neman281549+949
6FC Gomel281279+1143
7FC Vitebsk2811710+340
8Torpedo Zhodino2810612-136
9FC Minsk2810513-735
10Slavia Mozyr289712-234
11Baranovichi288713-1531
12Arsenal286913-2127
13Belshina286616-2324
14Bate Borisov285914-1424
15FC Dnepr Mogilev2841113-1623
16Naftan284519-4617

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Naftan vs Slavia Mozyr?

Our pick is Slavia Mozyr or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Naftan vs Slavia Mozyr?

On our numbers Naftan have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Slavia Mozyr 58%.

How many goals will there be in Naftan vs Slavia Mozyr?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Naftan vs Slavia Mozyr?

Our predicted score is Naftan 0–1 Slavia Mozyr, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Naftan vs Slavia Mozyr?

Naftan vs Slavia Mozyr (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Atlant Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.