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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Dnepr Mogilev v Dinamo Minsk: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Belarus · Spartak Stadium
2–3
FT
FC Dnepr Mogilev 12%Draw 18%Dinamo Minsk 70% Expected goals 0.62 – 1.94
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.08 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultDinamo Minsk to win ✓70% · @1.43
Double chanceDinamo Minsk or draw ✓88% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.08
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.12

FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Dinamo Minsk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Dinamo Minsk travel to face FC Dnepr Mogilev on Sunday 11 October in the Premier League, with Spartak Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, FC Dnepr Mogilev are 15th, in the drop zone, on 23 points after 28 matches; Dinamo Minsk are 3rd (among the top four) with 61. There are 38 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

FC Dnepr Mogilev, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Dinamo Brest, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Dinamo Minsk, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bate Borisov, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Dinamo Minsk, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for FC Dnepr Mogilev.

Head to head

When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Dinamo Minsk 3–1 FC Dnepr Mogilev.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Dnepr Mogilev 0.6 xG, Dinamo Minsk 1.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Dnepr Mogilev 12%, draw 18%, Dinamo Minsk 70%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.08.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.08 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Dnepr Mogilev 0–1 Dinamo Minsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Dnepr Mogilev12%fair 8.37 · @7.10
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @4.25
Dinamo Minsk70%fair 1.43 · @1.43
2.56Expected goals
0.62FC Dnepr Mogilev xG
1.94Dinamo Minsk xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
0–215%
0–39%
1–19%
1–29%
0–08%

From our goals model: FC Dnepr Mogilev 0.6 – 1.9 Dinamo Minsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDinamo Minsk to win ✓70%1.431.43
Double chanceDinamo Minsk or draw ✓88%1.141.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.942.08 ▲
Draw no betDinamo Minsk (draw no bet) ✓85%1.17–
Asian handicapDinamo Minsk -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.26
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.921.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.381.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗86%1.161.07
First team to scoreDinamo Minsk to score first ✓70%1.43–
Half-time resultDinamo Minsk ahead at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dinamo Minsk / FT Dinamo Minsk ✓44%2.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.12–

Recent results

FC Dnepr Mogilev – last 6

LDLDDD
20 Sep@ Dinamo Brest2–4L
13 Sepvs ML Vitebsk1–1D
6 Sep@ Baranovichi1–2L
30 Augvs FC Isloch Minsk R.0–0D
24 Aug@ Torpedo Zhodino0–0D
14 Augvs Belshina1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Dinamo Minsk – last 6

WLDWLL
19 Sepvs Bate Borisov2–0W
13 Sepvs Dinamo Brest0–1L
6 Sep@ ML Vitebsk0–0D
2 Sepvs Naftan5–1W
29 Augvs Baranovichi0–1L
24 Aug@ FC Isloch Minsk R.0–1L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Dinamo Minsk v FC Dnepr Mogilev3–1
FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Dinamo Minsk head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1ML Vitebsk281882+4262
2FC Isloch Minsk R.281873+3161
3Dinamo Minsk281945+2861
4Dinamo Brest281567+2151
5Neman281549+949
6FC Gomel281279+1143
7FC Vitebsk2811710+340
8Torpedo Zhodino2810612-136
9FC Minsk2810513-735
10Slavia Mozyr289712-234
11Baranovichi288713-1531
12Arsenal286913-2127
13Belshina286616-2324
14Bate Borisov285914-1424
15FC Dnepr Mogilev2841113-1623
16Naftan284519-4617

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Dinamo Minsk?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Dinamo Minsk?

On our numbers FC Dnepr Mogilev have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Dinamo Minsk 70%.

How many goals will there be in FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Dinamo Minsk?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Dinamo Minsk?

Our predicted score is FC Dnepr Mogilev 0–1 Dinamo Minsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Dinamo Minsk?

FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Dinamo Minsk (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Spartak Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.