FC Gomel 18%Draw 21%ML Vitebsk 61%Expected goals 0.76 – 1.67
82%
Betarazi pick
ML Vitebsk or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.23Odds
2
Value bet: ML Vitebsk to win @ 1.90 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultML Vitebsk to win ✓61% · @1.90
Double chanceML Vitebsk or draw ✓82% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.98
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.70
FC Gomel vs ML Vitebsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: FC Gomel v ML Vitebsk in the Premier League, played at Central Stadion. In the table, FC Gomel are 6th, upper half, on 43 points after 28 matches; ML Vitebsk are 1st (leading the league) with 62. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FC Gomel, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Belshina, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
ML Vitebsk, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Arsenal, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (22 May 2026) it ended ML Vitebsk 0–0 FC Gomel.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Gomel 0.8 xG, ML Vitebsk 1.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Gomel 18%, draw 21%, ML Vitebsk 61%.
Lower-risk option: ML Vitebsk or draw (82%) at 1.23.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.98.
Price worth noting: ML Vitebsk to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was ML Vitebsk or draw (82%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Gomel 0–1 ML Vitebsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Gomel18%fair 5.43 · @3.90
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.42
ML Vitebsk61%fair 1.65 · @1.90
2.43Expected goals
0.76FC Gomel xG
1.67ML Vitebsk xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
0–37%
From our goals model: FC Gomel 0.8 – 1.7 ML Vitebsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Gomel vs ML Vitebsk?
Our pick is ML Vitebsk or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win FC Gomel vs ML Vitebsk?
On our numbers FC Gomel have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 21% and ML Vitebsk 61%.
How many goals will there be in FC Gomel vs ML Vitebsk?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Gomel vs ML Vitebsk?
Our predicted score is FC Gomel 0–1 ML Vitebsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is FC Gomel vs ML Vitebsk?
FC Gomel vs ML Vitebsk (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
