Progreso 35%Draw 28%Albion FC 38%Expected goals 1.23 – 1.21
67%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.45
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultAlbion FC to win38% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.74
Progreso vs Albion FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Progreso welcome Albion FC to Parque Abraham Paladino for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Saturday 7 March (21:00 WAT). In the table, Progreso are 7th, upper half, on 19 points after 13 matches; Albion FC are 12th (lower half) with 13.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Progreso 1.2 xG, Albion FC 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Progreso 35%, draw 28%, Albion FC 38%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Progreso 1–1 Albion FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Progreso35%fair 2.86 · @2.88
Draw28%fair 3.64 · @3.00
Albion FC38%fair 2.66 · @2.45
2.45Expected goals
1.23Progreso xG
1.21Albion FC xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Progreso 1.2 – 1.2 Albion FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Progreso
Albion FC
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
-10%
+10%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
+16%
Our expected goals here
1.34
1.20
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Albion FC to win
38%
2.66
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win
72%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.83
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Albion FC (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Albion FC +0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
67%
1.49
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
58%
1.72
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
78%
1.28
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Progreso to score first
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Progreso / FT Progreso
21%
4.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
12.74
–
Recent results
Progreso – last 1
L
22 Feb
vs Club Nacional
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Albion FC – last 2
LW
28 Feb
vs Racing Montevideo
1–3
L
16 Feb
vs Cerro
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Progreso and Albion FC.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Progreso vs Albion FC?
On our numbers Progreso have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Albion FC 38%.
How many goals will there be in Progreso vs Albion FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Progreso vs Albion FC?
Our predicted score is Progreso 1–1 Albion FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Progreso vs Albion FC?
Progreso vs Albion FC (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Abraham Paladino.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
