Value bet: Deportivo Maldonado to win @ 2.72 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Maldonado to win ✗40% · @2.72
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.34
Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 7 March the Primera División Apertura brings Wanderers against Deportivo Maldonado at Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Wanderers are 10th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Deportivo Maldonado are 4th (among the top four) with 22.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Wanderers 1.1 xG, Deportivo Maldonado 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Wanderers 33%, draw 27%, Deportivo Maldonado 40%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Maldonado to win @2.72 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wanderers 1–1 Deportivo Maldonado. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Wanderers33%fair 3.08 · @2.54
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.05
Deportivo Maldonado40%fair 2.49 · @2.72
2.55Expected goals
1.14Wanderers xG
1.40Deportivo Maldonado xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Wanderers 1.1 – 1.4 Deportivo Maldonado expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
-1%
+14%
Goals conceded vs average
+10%
-23%
Our expected goals here
0.98
1.36
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Maldonado to win✗
40%
2.49
2.72 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.83
Draw no bet
Deportivo Maldonado (draw no bet)
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Wanderers +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Deportivo Maldonado to score first✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Maldonado / FT Deportivo Maldonado✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.34
–
Recent results
Wanderers – last 2
WL
1 Mar
@ Central Espanol
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Atletico Torque
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Maldonado – last 2
WL
3 Mar
vs Juventud
2–1
W
23 Feb
@ Penarol
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wanderers and Deportivo Maldonado.
What is the prediction for Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado?
On our numbers Wanderers have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportivo Maldonado 40%.
How many goals will there be in Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Our predicted score is Wanderers 1–1 Deportivo Maldonado, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
