22 de Julio 28%Draw 24%Gualaceo SC 48%Expected goals 0.81 – 1.49
60%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Gualaceo SC to win @ 2.45 – our chance 48% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGualaceo SC to win ✗48% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.71
22 de Julio vs Gualaceo SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22 de Julio welcome Gualaceo SC for a Liga Pro Serie B fixture on Wednesday 29 April (21:30 WAT). In the table, 22 de Julio are 11th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 22 matches; Gualaceo SC are 7th (lower half) with 29. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
22 de Julio, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Astillero FC (Ecu), away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give 22 de Julio 0.8 xG, Gualaceo SC 1.5 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – 22 de Julio 28%, draw 24%, Gualaceo SC 48%.
Price worth noting: Gualaceo SC to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: 22 de Julio 0–1 Gualaceo SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
22 de Julio28%fair 3.57 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.20
Gualaceo SC48%fair 2.08 · @2.45
2.30Expected goals
0.8122 de Julio xG
1.49Gualaceo SC xG
46%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–112%
0–211%
0–010%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: 22 de Julio 0.8 – 1.5 Gualaceo SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gualaceo SC to win✗
48%
2.08
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Gualaceo SC (draw no bet)
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
22 de Julio +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Gualaceo SC to score first✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gualaceo SC / FT Gualaceo SC✗
32%
3.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.71
–
Recent results
22 de Julio – last 3
LLL
20 Apr
@ Astillero FC (Ecu)
1–2
L
8 Apr
@ Atletico FC
0–1
L
27 Mar
@ San Antonio
2–5
L
1.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gualaceo SC – last 2
WL
24 Apr
@ Deportivo Quito
1–0
W
28 Mar
@ Santo Domingo
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between 22 de Julio and Gualaceo SC.
What is the prediction for 22 de Julio vs Gualaceo SC?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win 22 de Julio vs Gualaceo SC?
On our numbers 22 de Julio have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gualaceo SC 48%.
How many goals will there be in 22 de Julio vs Gualaceo SC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 22 de Julio vs Gualaceo SC?
Our predicted score is 22 de Julio 0–1 Gualaceo SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is 22 de Julio vs Gualaceo SC?
22 de Julio vs Gualaceo SC (Liga Pro Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
