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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

9 de Octubre v Cumbayá: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro Serie B · Ecuador · Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer
1–0
FT
9 de Octubre 53%Draw 26%Cumbayá 21% Expected goals 1.51 – 0.93
58%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

Result9 de Octubre to win ✓53% · @1.75
Double chance9 de Octubre or draw ✓79% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.63

9 de Octubre vs Cumbayá: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:30 WAT, Wednesday 29 April: 9 de Octubre v Cumbayá in the Liga Pro Serie B, played at Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer. In the table, 9 de Octubre are 3rd, among the top four, on 37 points after 22 matches; Cumbayá are 10th (in the drop zone) with 26.

Current form

9 de Octubre, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Cde Nazareno FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Cumbayá, last 3: DLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cuniburo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours 9 de Octubre, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Cumbayá.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give 9 de Octubre 1.5 xG, Cumbayá 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – 9 de Octubre 53%, draw 26%, Cumbayá 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: 9 de Octubre or draw (79%) at 1.14.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: 9 de Octubre 1–0 Cumbayá. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

9 de Octubre53%fair 1.89 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.20
Cumbayá21%fair 4.70 · @4.33
2.44Expected goals
1.519 de Octubre xG
0.93Cumbayá xG
47%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%

From our goals model: 9 de Octubre 1.5 – 0.9 Cumbayá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match result9 de Octubre to win ✓53%1.891.75
Double chance9 de Octubre or draw ✓79%1.271.14
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.87–
Draw no bet9 de Octubre (draw no bet) ✓71%1.40–
Asian handicapCumbayá +1 (Asian handicap)66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.711.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to score9 de Octubre to score first ✓56%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT 9 de Octubre / FT 9 de Octubre ✗30%3.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13%7.63–

Recent results

9 de Octubre – last 3

WWD
14 Apr@ Cde Nazareno FC4–0W
8 Apr@ Cuniburo1–0W
27 Mar@ Deportivo Cuenca Juniors0–0D
1.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Cumbayá – last 3

DLD
2 Aprvs Cuniburo1–1D
26 Mar@ Ind. Juniors1–2L
19 Marvs Atletico FC2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between 9 de Octubre and Cumbayá.

9 de Octubre vs Cumbayá head-to-head page →

Liga Pro Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ind. Juniors221093+1239
2Atletico FC229112+1138
39 de Octubre229103+837
4Deportivo Cuenca Juniors22976-334
5Cuniburo22877+831
6San Antonio227105+331
7Gualaceo SC22787+329
8Santo Domingo226106+128
9LDU Portoviejo22769-527
10Cumbayá225116026
1122 de Julio224315-2115
12El Nacional222614-1712

More Liga Pro Serie B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for 9 de Octubre vs Cumbayá?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win 9 de Octubre vs Cumbayá?

On our numbers 9 de Octubre have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cumbayá 21%.

How many goals will there be in 9 de Octubre vs Cumbayá?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for 9 de Octubre vs Cumbayá?

Our predicted score is 9 de Octubre 1–0 Cumbayá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is 9 de Octubre vs Cumbayá?

9 de Octubre vs Cumbayá (Liga Pro Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.