Value bet: Ural to win @ 1.69 – our chance 66% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUral to win ✓66% · @1.69
Double chanceUral or draw ✓86% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.62
Ural vs Arsenal Tula: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arsenal Tula travel to face Ural on Sunday 15 March in the First League, with Yekaterinburg Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 09:30 WAT. In the table, Ural are 2nd, among the top four, on 34 points after 17 matches; Arsenal Tula are 12th (lower half) with 19. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Arsenal Tula, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Volga Ulyanovsk, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ural 2.0 xG, Arsenal Tula 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ural 66%, draw 20%, Arsenal Tula 14%.
Lower-risk option: Ural or draw (86%) at 1.16.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.92.
Price worth noting: Ural to win @1.69 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 66%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ural 2–0 Arsenal Tula. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ural66%fair 1.52 · @1.69
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.64
Arsenal Tula14%fair 6.94 · @4.70
2.75Expected goals
2.04Ural xG
0.70Arsenal Tula xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
0–06%
From our goals model: Ural 2.0 – 0.7 Arsenal Tula expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ural
Arsenal Tula
Attack vs First League average
+24%
-6%
Goals conceded vs average
-37%
+37%
Our expected goals here
2.51
0.69
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ural to win✓
66%
1.52
1.69 ▲
Double chance
Ural or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.92 ▲
Draw no bet
Ural (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Ural -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.29
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.76
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.24
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.05
First team to score
Ural to score first✓
70%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Ural ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ural / FT Ural✓
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.62
–
Recent results
Ural – last 2
DL
9 Mar
@ Rotor Volgograd
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Fakel
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Arsenal Tula – last 3
LLD
9 Mar
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
0–1
L
5 Mar
vs Lokomotiv
1–2
L
27 Feb
@ KAMAZ
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ural and Arsenal Tula.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Ural vs Arsenal Tula?
On our numbers Ural have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Arsenal Tula 14%.
How many goals will there be in Ural vs Arsenal Tula?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ural vs Arsenal Tula?
Our predicted score is Ural 2–0 Arsenal Tula, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ural vs Arsenal Tula?
Ural vs Arsenal Tula (First League) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Yekaterinburg Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FK Sokol Saratov0