Volga Ulyanovsk 42%Draw 27%Chelyabinsk 31%Expected goals 1.38 – 1.11
68%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.97 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVolga Ulyanovsk to win ✗42% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.97
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.38
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chelyabinsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 March the First League brings Volga Ulyanovsk against Chelyabinsk at Trud Stadium. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Volga Ulyanovsk are 9th, upper half, on 22 points after 18 matches; Chelyabinsk are 11th (lower half) with 21. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Volga Ulyanovsk, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Arsenal Tula, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Chelyabinsk, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Spartak Kostroma, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Volga Ulyanovsk, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.4 for Chelyabinsk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Volga Ulyanovsk 1.4 xG, Chelyabinsk 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Volga Ulyanovsk 42%, draw 27%, Chelyabinsk 31%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.97.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.97 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Volga Ulyanovsk 1–1 Chelyabinsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Volga Ulyanovsk42%fair 2.38 · @2.38
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.10
Chelyabinsk31%fair 3.18 · @2.98
2.49Expected goals
1.38Volga Ulyanovsk xG
1.11Chelyabinsk xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Volga Ulyanovsk 1.4 – 1.1 Chelyabinsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Volga Ulyanovsk
Chelyabinsk
Attack vs First League average
-10%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
+14%
Our expected goals here
1.52
1.13
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Volga Ulyanovsk to win✗
42%
2.38
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.36
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.97 ▲
Draw no bet
Volga Ulyanovsk (draw no bet)
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Chelyabinsk +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.56
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.02
First team to score
Volga Ulyanovsk to score first
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Volga Ulyanovsk / FT Volga Ulyanovsk✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.38
–
Recent results
Volga Ulyanovsk – last 3
WDW
9 Mar
@ Arsenal Tula
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Enisey
1–1
D
18 Feb
@ Rotor Volgograd
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Chelyabinsk – last 5
DWWLL
7 Mar
vs Spartak Kostroma
3–3
D
28 Feb
@ FK Sokol Saratov
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Zenit 2
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Krylia Sovetov
2–3
L
13 Feb
vs KAMAZ
2–5
L
2.0Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Volga Ulyanovsk and Chelyabinsk.
What is the prediction for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chelyabinsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chelyabinsk?
On our numbers Volga Ulyanovsk have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Chelyabinsk 31%.
How many goals will there be in Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chelyabinsk?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chelyabinsk?
Our predicted score is Volga Ulyanovsk 1–1 Chelyabinsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chelyabinsk?
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chelyabinsk (First League) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Trud Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FK Sokol Saratov0