Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Ferroviária to win @ 3.50 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAmazonas to win ✗38% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.68
Amazonas vs Ferroviária: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:30 WAT, Sunday 24 May: Amazonas v Ferroviária in the Serie C. In the table, Amazonas are 13th on 26 points after 19 matches; Ferroviária are 1st with 11. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Amazonas, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Floresta, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Ferroviária, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Brusque, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Amazonas 1.1 xG, Ferroviária 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Amazonas 38%, draw 28%, Ferroviária 33%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Ferroviária to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Amazonas 1–1 Ferroviária. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Amazonas38%fair 2.60 · @2.10
Draw28%fair 3.55 · @3.00
Ferroviária33%fair 2.99 · @3.50
2.18Expected goals
1.09Amazonas xG
1.09Ferroviária xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Amazonas 1.1 – 1.1 Ferroviária expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amazonas to win✗
38%
2.60
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.95
Draw no bet
Amazonas (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Amazonas +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Ferroviária to score first✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ferroviária / FT Ferroviária✗
20%
5.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.68
–
Recent results
Amazonas – last 6
LDWWLL
16 May
@ Floresta
2–3
L
29 Apr
@ Monte Roraima
2–2
D
19 Apr
vs Maranhão
2–0
W
16 Apr
vs Porto Velho
2–1
W
9 Apr
@ Remo
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Águia de Marabá
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ferroviária – last 6
WLDDDW
17 May
vs Brusque
1–0
W
13 May
vs Juventus
1–2
L
7 May
@ Juventus
0–0
D
30 Apr
vs Ituano
1–1
D
28 Apr
vs Guarani Campinas
2–2
D
23 Apr
@ Ituano
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amazonas and Ferroviária.
What is the prediction for Amazonas vs Ferroviária?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Amazonas vs Ferroviária?
On our numbers Amazonas have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Ferroviária 33%.
How many goals will there be in Amazonas vs Ferroviária?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amazonas vs Ferroviária?
Our predicted score is Amazonas 1–1 Ferroviária, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Amazonas vs Ferroviária?
Amazonas vs Ferroviária (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
