Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultConfiança to win ✗45% · @1.90
Double chanceConfiança or draw ✓73% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.58
Confiança vs Figueirense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Confiança welcome Figueirense for a Serie C fixture on Sunday 24 May (22:00 WAT). In the table, Confiança are 20th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 19 matches; Figueirense are 11th (lower half) with 28. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Confiança, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Maranhão, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Figueirense, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to AO Itabaiana, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Confiança 1.1 xG, Figueirense 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Confiança 45%, draw 29%, Figueirense 27%.
Lower-risk option: Confiança or draw (73%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Confiança 1–1 Figueirense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Confiança45%fair 2.23 · @1.90
Draw29%fair 3.48 · @3.20
Figueirense27%fair 3.77 · @3.95
2.10Expected goals
1.09Confiança xG
1.01Figueirense xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Confiança 1.1 – 1.0 Figueirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Confiança to win✗
45%
2.23
1.90
Double chance
Confiança or draw✓
73%
1.36
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.95
Draw no bet
Confiança (draw no bet)
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Figueirense +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Confiança to score first✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Confiança / FT Confiança✗
21%
4.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.58
–
Recent results
Confiança – last 6
WLLLDL
19 May
vs Maranhão
2–1
W
14 May
vs Gremio
0–3
L
10 May
@ Ituano
0–1
L
7 May
vs Fortaleza EC
1–2
L
30 Apr
vs Vitoria
2–2
D
21 Apr
@ Gremio
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Figueirense – last 6
LLLDLW
16 May
vs AO Itabaiana
0–1
L
5 May
vs Barra
0–3
L
14 Apr
vs Maringá
1–3
L
7 Apr
@ Ypiranga-RS
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ CRB
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Amazonas
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Confiança and Figueirense.
What is the prediction for Confiança vs Figueirense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Confiança vs Figueirense?
On our numbers Confiança have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Figueirense 27%.
How many goals will there be in Confiança vs Figueirense?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Confiança vs Figueirense?
Our predicted score is Confiança 1–1 Figueirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Confiança vs Figueirense?
Confiança vs Figueirense (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
