Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Botafogo PB to win @ 4.00 – our chance 28% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultItuano to win ✓42% · @1.91
Double chanceItuano or draw ✓72% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.15
Ituano vs Botafogo PB: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 26 May the Serie C brings Ituano against Botafogo PB. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Ituano are 15th on 22 points after 19 matches; Botafogo PB are 4th with 5. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ituano, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Guarani Campinas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Botafogo PB, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Inter De Limeira, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ituano, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Botafogo PB.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ituano 1.1 xG, Botafogo PB 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ituano 42%, draw 30%, Botafogo PB 28%.
Lower-risk option: Ituano or draw (72%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Botafogo PB to win @4.00 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 28%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ituano 1–1 Botafogo PB. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ituano42%fair 2.40 · @1.91
Draw30%fair 3.32 · @3.00
Botafogo PB28%fair 3.55 · @4.00
2.19Expected goals
1.10Ituano xG
1.09Botafogo PB xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Ituano 1.1 – 1.1 Botafogo PB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ituano to win✓
42%
2.40
1.91
Double chance
Ituano or draw✓
72%
1.39
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.53
Draw no bet
Ituano (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Botafogo PB +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Ituano to score first✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ituano / FT Ituano✗
20%
5.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.15
–
Recent results
Ituano – last 6
WWLDLW
17 May
@ Guarani Campinas
3–1
W
10 May
vs Confiança
1–0
W
5 May
@ Ypiranga-RS
0–2
L
30 Apr
@ Ferroviária
1–1
D
23 Apr
vs Ferroviária
0–1
L
15 Apr
vs Votuporanguense
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Botafogo PB – last 6
LDLDWL
19 May
vs Inter De Limeira
0–1
L
30 Apr
vs Fluminense PI
1–1
D
25 Apr
vs Floresta
1–2
L
22 Apr
@ AO Itabaiana
3–3
D
12 Apr
@ Ferroviária
2–0
W
8 Apr
@ Sousa
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ituano and Botafogo PB.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Ituano vs Botafogo PB?
On our numbers Ituano have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Botafogo PB 28%.
How many goals will there be in Ituano vs Botafogo PB?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ituano vs Botafogo PB?
Our predicted score is Ituano 1–1 Botafogo PB, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Ituano vs Botafogo PB?
Ituano vs Botafogo PB (Serie C) kicks off on Tuesday 26 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.