Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPaysandu to win ✓49% · @1.85
Double chancePaysandu or draw ✓76% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.10
Paysandu vs Floresta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Tuesday 26 May: Paysandu v Floresta in the Serie C, played at Leonidas Sodre de Castro. In the table, Paysandu are 4th on 5 points after 6 matches; Floresta are 3rd with 5. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Paysandu, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Nacional AM, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Floresta, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Amazonas, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Paysandu, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Floresta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paysandu 1.4 xG, Floresta 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paysandu 49%, draw 27%, Floresta 24%.
Lower-risk option: Paysandu or draw (76%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paysandu 1–1 Floresta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paysandu49%fair 2.05 · @1.85
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.10
Floresta24%fair 4.10 · @4.10
2.45Expected goals
1.43Paysandu xG
1.02Floresta xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–19%
0–09%
From our goals model: Paysandu 1.4 – 1.0 Floresta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paysandu to win✓
49%
2.05
1.85
Double chance
Paysandu or draw✓
76%
1.32
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Paysandu (draw no bet)✓
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Floresta +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Paysandu to score first✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paysandu / FT Paysandu✓
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.10
–
Recent results
Paysandu – last 6
WLDWWL
21 May
vs Nacional AM
1–0
W
17 May
@ Caxias
0–2
L
13 May
@ Vasco DA Gama
2–2
D
6 May
@ Águia de Marabá
5–1
W
29 Apr
@ Trem
3–0
W
22 Apr
vs Vasco DA Gama
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Floresta – last 6
WLWDLL
16 May
vs Amazonas
3–2
W
5 May
vs Maranhão
1–2
L
25 Apr
@ Botafogo PB
2–1
W
21 Apr
vs Ferroviária
0–0
D
26 Feb
@ Ferroviario
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Ceara
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paysandu and Floresta.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Paysandu vs Floresta?
On our numbers Paysandu have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Floresta 24%.
How many goals will there be in Paysandu vs Floresta?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paysandu vs Floresta?
Our predicted score is Paysandu 1–1 Floresta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Paysandu vs Floresta?
Paysandu vs Floresta (Serie C) kicks off on Tuesday 26 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Leonidas Sodre de Castro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
