Ypiranga-RS vs Paysandu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 5 July: Ypiranga-RS v Paysandu in the Serie C. In the table, Ypiranga-RS are 9th on 29 points after 19 matches; Paysandu are 4th with 5. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ypiranga-RS, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Confiança, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Paysandu, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Santa Cruz, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Paysandu, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Ypiranga-RS.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ypiranga-RS 1.6 xG, Paysandu 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ypiranga-RS 45%, draw 25%, Paysandu 30%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ypiranga-RS 1–1 Paysandu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ypiranga-RS45%fair 2.23 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.20
Paysandu30%fair 3.34 · @2.95
2.78Expected goals
1.60Ypiranga-RS xG
1.18Paysandu xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Ypiranga-RS 1.6 – 1.2 Paysandu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ypiranga-RS to win✓
45%
2.23
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.70
Draw no bet
Ypiranga-RS (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Paysandu +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Ypiranga-RS to score first✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ypiranga-RS / FT Ypiranga-RS✗
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.67
–
Recent results
Ypiranga-RS – last 6
DWDLLL
29 Jun
vs Confiança
1–1
D
20 Jun
@ Santa Cruz
1–0
W
16 Jun
vs Botafogo PB
1–1
D
31 May
@ Inter De Limeira
1–2
L
24 May
@ Volta Redonda
1–2
L
10 May
@ Brusque
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Paysandu – last 6
LWLLWW
27 Jun
vs Santa Cruz
1–3
L
21 Jun
@ Maranhão
1–0
W
14 Jun
vs Inter De Limeira
1–2
L
1 Jun
@ Figueirense
1–2
L
29 May
@ Nacional AM
4–2
W
26 May
vs Floresta
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ypiranga-RS and Paysandu.
What is the prediction for Ypiranga-RS vs Paysandu?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Ypiranga-RS vs Paysandu?
On our numbers Ypiranga-RS have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Paysandu 30%.
How many goals will there be in Ypiranga-RS vs Paysandu?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ypiranga-RS vs Paysandu?
Our predicted score is Ypiranga-RS 1–1 Paysandu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ypiranga-RS vs Paysandu?
Ypiranga-RS vs Paysandu (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
