Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMaranhão to win ✓38% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 13.07
Maranhão vs Ypiranga-RS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Sunday 12 July: Maranhão v Ypiranga-RS in the Serie C. In the table, Maranhão are 12th, lower half, on 27 points after 19 matches; Ypiranga-RS are 9th (upper half) with 29. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Maranhão, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Inter De Limeira, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Ypiranga-RS, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Paysandu, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ypiranga-RS, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Maranhão.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maranhão 1.1 xG, Ypiranga-RS 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maranhão 38%, draw 28%, Ypiranga-RS 34%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maranhão 1–1 Ypiranga-RS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maranhão38%fair 2.61 · @2.30
Draw28%fair 3.59 · @3.00
Ypiranga-RS34%fair 2.95 · @3.00
2.26Expected goals
1.15Maranhão xG
1.11Ypiranga-RS xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Maranhão 1.1 – 1.1 Ypiranga-RS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maranhão to win✓
38%
2.61
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Maranhão (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Ypiranga-RS +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Maranhão to score first✓
46%
2.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maranhão / FT Maranhão✓
21%
4.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
13.07
–
Recent results
Maranhão – last 6
LDLDDD
4 Jul
vs Inter De Limeira
0–1
L
29 Jun
@ Ituano
0–0
D
21 Jun
vs Paysandu
0–1
L
15 Jun
@ Maringá
0–0
D
31 May
@ Anápolis
0–0
D
23 May
vs Caxias
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Ypiranga-RS – last 6
WDWDLL
5 Jul
vs Paysandu
1–0
W
29 Jun
vs Confiança
1–1
D
20 Jun
@ Santa Cruz
1–0
W
16 Jun
vs Botafogo PB
1–1
D
31 May
@ Inter De Limeira
1–2
L
24 May
@ Volta Redonda
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maranhão and Ypiranga-RS.
What is the prediction for Maranhão vs Ypiranga-RS?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Maranhão vs Ypiranga-RS?
On our numbers Maranhão have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Ypiranga-RS 34%.
How many goals will there be in Maranhão vs Ypiranga-RS?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maranhão vs Ypiranga-RS?
Our predicted score is Maranhão 1–1 Ypiranga-RS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Maranhão vs Ypiranga-RS?
Maranhão vs Ypiranga-RS (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
