Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultConfiança to win ✗49% · @1.95
Double chanceConfiança or draw ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.32
Confiança vs AO Itabaiana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AO Itabaiana travel to face Confiança on Saturday 25 July in the Serie C – the ball rolls at 22:30 WAT. In the table, Confiança are 20th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 19 matches; AO Itabaiana are 19th (in the drop zone) with 17.
Current form
Confiança, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Botafogo PB, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
AO Itabaiana, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Brusque, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours AO Itabaiana, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Confiança.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Apr 2026) it ended AO Itabaiana 0–1 Confiança. The last 2 head-to-heads: Confiança 1 win, AO Itabaiana 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Confiança 1.2 xG, AO Itabaiana 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Confiança 49%, draw 29%, AO Itabaiana 21%.
Lower-risk option: Confiança or draw (79%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Confiança 1–0 AO Itabaiana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Confiança49%fair 2.03 · @1.95
Draw29%fair 3.40 · @3.00
AO Itabaiana21%fair 4.69 · @4.00
2.06Expected goals
1.24Confiança xG
0.82AO Itabaiana xG
49%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–113%
0–013%
0–110%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: Confiança 1.2 – 0.8 AO Itabaiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Confiança vs AO Itabaiana?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Confiança vs AO Itabaiana?
On our numbers Confiança have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 29% and AO Itabaiana 21%.
How many goals will there be in Confiança vs AO Itabaiana?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Confiança vs AO Itabaiana?
Our predicted score is Confiança 1–0 AO Itabaiana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Confiança vs AO Itabaiana?
Confiança vs AO Itabaiana (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
