AO Itabaiana 35%Draw 29%Caxias 36%Expected goals 0.96 – 1.08
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultCaxias to win ✓36% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.75
AO Itabaiana vs Caxias: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 9 August the Serie C brings AO Itabaiana against Caxias at Estadio Etelvino Mendonca. Kick-off: 22:30 WAT. In the table, AO Itabaiana are 19th, in the drop zone, on 17 points after 19 matches; Caxias are 14th (lower half) with 25.
Current form
AO Itabaiana, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Confiança, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Caxias, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Botafogo PB, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours AO Itabaiana, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Caxias.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AO Itabaiana 1.0 xG, Caxias 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AO Itabaiana 35%, draw 29%, Caxias 36%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: AO Itabaiana 0–1 Caxias. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AO Itabaiana35%fair 2.89 · @2.55
Draw29%fair 3.44 · @2.95
Caxias36%fair 2.75 · @2.75
2.04Expected goals
0.96AO Itabaiana xG
1.08Caxias xG
52%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: AO Itabaiana 1.0 – 1.1 Caxias expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caxias to win✓
36%
2.75
2.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.00
Draw no bet
Caxias (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
AO Itabaiana +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Caxias to score first✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.75
–
Recent results
AO Itabaiana – last 6
DWWWLD
25 Jul
@ Confiança
1–1
D
13 Jul
vs Brusque
1–0
W
7 Jul
@ Amazonas
2–0
W
27 Jun
vs Ferroviária
1–0
W
20 Jun
@ Anápolis
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Ituano
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Caxias – last 6
LDWDDL
26 Jul
vs Botafogo PB
1–2
L
11 Jul
vs Floresta
0–0
D
5 Jul
@ Ferroviária
1–0
W
30 Jun
vs Anápolis
1–1
D
21 Jun
vs Maringá
1–1
D
13 Jun
@ Guarani Campinas
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AO Itabaiana and Caxias.
What is the prediction for AO Itabaiana vs Caxias?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win AO Itabaiana vs Caxias?
On our numbers AO Itabaiana have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Caxias 36%.
How many goals will there be in AO Itabaiana vs Caxias?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AO Itabaiana vs Caxias?
Our predicted score is AO Itabaiana 0–1 Caxias, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is AO Itabaiana vs Caxias?
AO Itabaiana vs Caxias (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Etelvino Mendonca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
