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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ypiranga-RS v Floresta: numbers & prediction

Serie C · Brazil
4–1
FT
Ypiranga-RS 51%Draw 28%Floresta 21% Expected goals 1.44 – 0.87
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultYpiranga-RS to win ✓51% · @1.83
Double chanceYpiranga-RS or draw ✓79% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.18

Ypiranga-RS vs Floresta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 9 August the Serie C brings Ypiranga-RS against Floresta. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Ypiranga-RS are 9th on 29 points after 19 matches; Floresta are 3rd with 5. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Ypiranga-RS, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Barra, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Floresta, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Maringá, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Ypiranga-RS, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Floresta.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ypiranga-RS 1.4 xG, Floresta 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ypiranga-RS 51%, draw 28%, Floresta 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Ypiranga-RS or draw (79%) at 1.13.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ypiranga-RS 1–1 Floresta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ypiranga-RS51%fair 1.95 · @1.83
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @3.00
Floresta21%fair 4.74 · @4.40
2.31Expected goals
1.44Ypiranga-RS xG
0.87Floresta xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
0–010%
2–19%
0–19%

From our goals model: Ypiranga-RS 1.4 – 0.9 Floresta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultYpiranga-RS to win ✓51%1.951.83
Double chanceYpiranga-RS or draw ✓79%1.271.13
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.952.10 ▲
Draw no betYpiranga-RS (draw no bet) ✓71%1.41–
Asian handicapFloresta +1 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.551.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.641.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗92%1.09–
First team to scoreYpiranga-RS to score first ✓56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ypiranga-RS / FT Ypiranga-RS ✓30%3.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.18–

Recent results

Ypiranga-RS – last 6

WLWDWD
26 Julvs Barra1–0W
12 Jul@ Maranhão1–2L
5 Julvs Paysandu1–0W
29 Junvs Confiança1–1D
20 Jun@ Santa Cruz1–0W
16 Junvs Botafogo PB1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Floresta – last 6

DDDWLL
28 Julvs Maringá1–1D
11 Jul@ Caxias0–0D
5 Jul@ Guarani Campinas0–0D
27 Junvs Barra2–1W
21 Jun@ Brusque1–2L
14 Junvs Figueirense1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ypiranga-RS and Floresta.

Ypiranga-RS vs Floresta head-to-head page →

Serie C table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Botafogo PB191036+933
2Brusque19955+632
3Ferroviária19865+730
4Maringá19865+230
5Floresta19865+230
6Inter De Limeira19865+230
7Paysandu19928-129
8Santa Cruz19856+529
9Ypiranga-RS19856+329
10Guarani Campinas19775+1028
11Figueirense19775-328
12Maranhão19766+127
13Amazonas19757-226
14Caxias19676+125
15Ituano19649-322
16Volta Redonda196310-1221
17Barra19568021
18Anápolis195410-519
19AO Itabaiana194510-1317
20Confiança193412-913

More Serie C predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ypiranga-RS vs Floresta?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Ypiranga-RS vs Floresta?

On our numbers Ypiranga-RS have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Floresta 21%.

How many goals will there be in Ypiranga-RS vs Floresta?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ypiranga-RS vs Floresta?

Our predicted score is Ypiranga-RS 1–1 Floresta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Ypiranga-RS vs Floresta?

Ypiranga-RS vs Floresta (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.