Value bet: Kaluga to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKaluga to win ✓40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.19
Irtysh Omsk vs Kaluga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 12 April: Irtysh Omsk v Kaluga in the Second League A Fall Season Gold, played at Red Star Stadium.
Current form
Irtysh Omsk, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mashuk-KMV, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Kaluga, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Rodina Moskva II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Irtysh Omsk 1.2 xG, Kaluga 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Irtysh Omsk 35%, draw 26%, Kaluga 40%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Kaluga to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Irtysh Omsk 1–1 Kaluga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Irtysh Omsk35%fair 2.89 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.18
Kaluga40%fair 2.53 · @2.75
2.59Expected goals
1.15Irtysh Omsk xG
1.44Kaluga xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Irtysh Omsk 1.2 – 1.4 Kaluga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kaluga to win✓
40%
2.53
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Draw no bet
Kaluga (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Irtysh Omsk +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.89
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.32
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Kaluga to score first✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kaluga / FT Kaluga✓
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.19
–
Recent results
Irtysh Omsk – last 6
DLLWLD
8 Apr
@ Mashuk-KMV
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Novosibirsk
1–3
L
29 Mar
@ Veles
0–4
L
22 Mar
@ Rodina Moskva II
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Leningradets
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Torpedo Miass
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kaluga – last 6
DLLLWL
8 Apr
vs Rodina Moskva II
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Leningradets
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Torpedo Miass
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Tekstilshchik
1–4
L
15 Mar
@ Volgar Astrakhan
3–0
W
8 Mar
@ Veles
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Irtysh Omsk and Kaluga.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Irtysh Omsk vs Kaluga?
On our numbers Irtysh Omsk have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Kaluga 40%.
How many goals will there be in Irtysh Omsk vs Kaluga?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Irtysh Omsk vs Kaluga?
Our predicted score is Irtysh Omsk 1–1 Kaluga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Irtysh Omsk vs Kaluga?
Irtysh Omsk vs Kaluga (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Red Star Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Torpedo Miass0
Veles2
Leningradets3
Tekstilshchik2