Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Mashuk-KMV to win @ 3.65 – our chance 29% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNovosibirsk to win ✗42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.68
Novosibirsk vs Mashuk-KMV: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 12 April the Second League A Fall Season Gold brings Novosibirsk against Mashuk-KMV at Stadion Spartak. Kick-off: 10:00 WAT. In the table, Novosibirsk are 5th, upper half, on 22 points after 17 matches; Mashuk-KMV are 6th (lower half) with 21. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Novosibirsk, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Veles, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Mashuk-KMV, last 5: DDDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Irtysh Omsk, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Novosibirsk, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Mashuk-KMV.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Novosibirsk 1.2 xG, Mashuk-KMV 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Novosibirsk 42%, draw 28%, Mashuk-KMV 29%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Mashuk-KMV to win @3.65 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Novosibirsk 1–1 Mashuk-KMV. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Novosibirsk42%fair 2.37 · @2.00
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @2.95
Mashuk-KMV29%fair 3.39 · @3.65
2.22Expected goals
1.18Novosibirsk xG
1.03Mashuk-KMV xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Novosibirsk 1.2 – 1.0 Mashuk-KMV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novosibirsk to win✗
42%
2.37
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.40
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
2.00
Draw no bet
Novosibirsk (draw no bet)
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Mashuk-KMV +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Novosibirsk to score first✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novosibirsk / FT Novosibirsk✗
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.68
–
Recent results
Novosibirsk – last 6
LWWLWL
8 Apr
@ Veles
0–2
L
4 Apr
@ Irtysh Omsk
3–1
W
29 Mar
vs Rodina Moskva II
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Leningradets
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Torpedo Miass
3–0
W
8 Mar
@ Tekstilshchik
1–5
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mashuk-KMV – last 6
DDDDDD
8 Apr
vs Irtysh Omsk
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Rodina Moskva II
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Leningradets
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ Torpedo Miass
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Tekstilshchik
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Volgar Astrakhan
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Novosibirsk and Mashuk-KMV.
What is the prediction for Novosibirsk vs Mashuk-KMV?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Novosibirsk vs Mashuk-KMV?
On our numbers Novosibirsk have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Mashuk-KMV 29%.
How many goals will there be in Novosibirsk vs Mashuk-KMV?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novosibirsk vs Mashuk-KMV?
Our predicted score is Novosibirsk 1–1 Mashuk-KMV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Novosibirsk vs Mashuk-KMV?
Novosibirsk vs Mashuk-KMV (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Torpedo Miass0
Veles2
Leningradets3
Tekstilshchik2
Irtysh Omsk0