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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kaluga v Veles: numbers & prediction

Second League A Fall Season Gold · Russia · Orbita stadium

Kaluga

LWDLL
1–0
FT

Veles

WWWWW
Kaluga 19%Draw 25%Veles 56% Expected goals 0.86 – 1.38
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.33Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.16 – our chance 51% vs 46% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultVeles to win ✗56% · @1.48
Double chanceVeles or draw ✗81% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.16
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.47

Kaluga vs Veles: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Veles travel to face Kaluga on Sunday 26 April in the Second League A Fall Season Gold, with Orbita stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT.

Current form

Kaluga, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Novosibirsk, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Veles, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Mashuk-KMV, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Veles, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.7 for Kaluga.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Veles 1–0 Kaluga.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kaluga 0.9 xG, Veles 1.4 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kaluga 19%, draw 25%, Veles 56%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.16.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.16 – the bookmaker implies 46%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kaluga 1–1 Veles. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kaluga19%fair 5.25 · @6.00
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.70
Veles56%fair 1.80 · @1.48
2.24Expected goals
0.86Kaluga xG
1.38Veles xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
1–113%
0–011%
0–210%
1–09%
1–29%

From our goals model: Kaluga 0.9 – 1.4 Veles expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVeles to win ✗56%1.801.48
Double chanceVeles or draw ✗81%1.241.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.962.16 ▲
Draw no betVeles (draw no bet) ✗74%1.34–
Asian handicapKaluga +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.501.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.701.63
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.271.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreVeles to score first ✗55%1.82–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Veles / FT Veles ✗29%3.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.47–

Recent results

Kaluga – last 6

LWDLLL
19 Aprvs Novosibirsk1–2L
12 Apr@ Irtysh Omsk1–0W
8 Aprvs Rodina Moskva II1–1D
4 Apr@ Leningradets0–1L
29 Marvs Torpedo Miass0–2L
22 Mar@ Tekstilshchik1–4L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Veles – last 6

WWWWWW
19 Aprvs Mashuk-KMV2–0W
12 Apr@ Torpedo Miass2–0W
8 Aprvs Novosibirsk2–0W
4 Apr@ Tekstilshchik1–0W
29 Marvs Irtysh Omsk4–0W
22 Marvs Volgar Astrakhan2–1W
2.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026Veles v Kaluga1–0
Kaluga vs Veles head-to-head page →

Second League A Fall Season Gold table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dinamo Kirov171043+1234
2Rodina Moskva II17944+831
3Dinamo Vladivostok17665+524
4Alaniya Vladikavkaz17584+323
5Novosibirsk17575-222
6Mashuk-KMV173122+321
7FK Sokol Saratov17476-619
8Dinamo Bryansk17548-1019
9Volgar Astrakhan171124-415
10Kaluga17188-911

More Second League A Fall Season Gold predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kaluga vs Veles?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Kaluga vs Veles?

On our numbers Kaluga have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Veles 56%.

How many goals will there be in Kaluga vs Veles?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kaluga vs Veles?

Our predicted score is Kaluga 1–1 Veles, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Kaluga vs Veles?

Kaluga vs Veles (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Orbita stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.