Rodina Moskva II 42%Draw 27%Leningradets 31%Expected goals 1.37 – 1.04
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 54% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRodina Moskva II to win ✗42% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.08
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.40
Rodina Moskva II vs Leningradets: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rodina Moskva II welcome Leningradets to Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina for a Second League A Fall Season Gold fixture on Sunday 26 April (13:00 WAT).
Current form
Rodina Moskva II, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Tekstilshchik, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Leningradets, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Torpedo Miass, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Leningradets, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Rodina Moskva II.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Leningradets 0–0 Rodina Moskva II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rodina Moskva II 1.4 xG, Leningradets 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rodina Moskva II 42%, draw 27%, Leningradets 31%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rodina Moskva II 1–1 Leningradets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rodina Moskva II42%fair 2.36 · @2.40
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @2.83
Leningradets31%fair 3.27 · @2.92
2.41Expected goals
1.37Rodina Moskva II xG
1.04Leningradets xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Rodina Moskva II 1.4 – 1.0 Leningradets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rodina Moskva II vs Leningradets?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Rodina Moskva II vs Leningradets?
On our numbers Rodina Moskva II have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Leningradets 31%.
How many goals will there be in Rodina Moskva II vs Leningradets?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rodina Moskva II vs Leningradets?
Our predicted score is Rodina Moskva II 1–1 Leningradets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Rodina Moskva II vs Leningradets?
Rodina Moskva II vs Leningradets (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tekstilshchik0
Veles0
Irtysh Omsk1
Torpedo Miass1