Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓13% · fair 7.77
Al Najaf vs Al Minaa Basra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Friday 6 March: Al Najaf v Al Minaa Basra in the Iraqi League.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Najaf 1.0 xG, Al Minaa Basra 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Najaf 25%, draw 27%, Al Minaa Basra 48%.
Lower-risk option: Al Minaa Basra or draw (75%) at 1.22.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al Minaa Basra or draw (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Najaf 0–1 Al Minaa Basra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Najaf25%fair 4.04 · @3.50
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.20
Al Minaa Basra48%fair 2.07 · @1.95
2.36Expected goals
1.00Al Najaf xG
1.36Al Minaa Basra xG
47%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–09%
1–09%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Al Najaf 1.0 – 1.4 Al Minaa Basra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Minaa Basra to win✓
48%
2.07
1.95
Double chance
Al Minaa Basra or draw✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Al Minaa Basra (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Al Najaf +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Al Minaa Basra to score first✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Minaa Basra / FT Al Minaa Basra✓
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
13%
7.77
–
Recent results
Al Najaf – last 1
L
20 Feb
@ Newroz
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Al Minaa Basra – last 2
WL
1 Mar
vs Al-Karma
2–0
W
13 Feb
vs Gharraf
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Najaf and Al Minaa Basra.
What is the prediction for Al Najaf vs Al Minaa Basra?
Our pick is Al Minaa Basra or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Al Najaf vs Al Minaa Basra?
On our numbers Al Najaf have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Al Minaa Basra 48%.
How many goals will there be in Al Najaf vs Al Minaa Basra?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Najaf vs Al Minaa Basra?
Our predicted score is Al Najaf 0–1 Al Minaa Basra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Al Najaf vs Al Minaa Basra?
Al Najaf vs Al Minaa Basra (Iraqi League) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
