Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultNaft to win ✗46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.77
Naft vs Al Karkh: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Naft welcome Al Karkh for a Iraqi League fixture on Friday 6 March (21:15 WAT). In the table, Naft are 3rd, among the top four, on 25 points after 13 matches; Al Karkh are 16th (lower half) with 12. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Naft 1.3 xG, Al Karkh 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 42%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Naft 46%, draw 27%, Al Karkh 27%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naft 1–0 Al Karkh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Naft46%fair 2.20 · @2.10
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.10
Al Karkh27%fair 3.67 · @3.20
2.21Expected goals
1.35Naft xG
0.86Al Karkh xG
42%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Naft 1.3 – 0.9 Al Karkh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naft to win✗
46%
2.20
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
–
Draw no bet
Naft (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Al Karkh +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Naft to score first✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naft / FT Naft✗
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.77
–
Recent results
Naft – last 2
WL
1 Mar
@ Baghdad
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Zakho
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al Karkh – last 1
L
13 Feb
vs Al Talaba
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naft and Al Karkh.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Naft vs Al Karkh?
On our numbers Naft have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Al Karkh 27%.
How many goals will there be in Naft vs Al Karkh?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naft vs Al Karkh?
Our predicted score is Naft 1–0 Al Karkh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Naft vs Al Karkh?
Naft vs Al Karkh (Iraqi League) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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