FK Tobol Kostanay 65%Draw 22%Zhetysu 13%Expected goals 2.38 – 1.13
81%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 56% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFK Tobol Kostanay to win ✗65% · @1.30
Double chanceFK Tobol Kostanay or draw ✓87% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45
FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhetysu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FK Tobol Kostanay welcome Zhetysu to Centralnyj Stadion for a Premier League fixture on Monday 16 March (13:00 WAT). In the table, FK Tobol Kostanay are 7th, upper half, on 41 points after 30 matches; Zhetysu are 15th (in the drop zone) with 27. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Tobol Kostanay 2.4 xG, Zhetysu 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Tobol Kostanay 65%, draw 22%, Zhetysu 13%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Tobol Kostanay 2–1 Zhetysu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Tobol Kostanay65%fair 1.53 · @1.30
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @4.60
Zhetysu13%fair 7.97 · @9.25
3.51Expected goals
2.38FK Tobol Kostanay xG
1.13Zhetysu xG
56%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: FK Tobol Kostanay 2.4 – 1.1 Zhetysu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Tobol Kostanay to win✗
65%
1.53
1.30
Double chance
FK Tobol Kostanay or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
FK Tobol Kostanay (draw no bet)
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
FK Tobol Kostanay -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.77 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
First team to score
FK Tobol Kostanay to score first
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
FK Tobol Kostanay ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Tobol Kostanay / FT FK Tobol Kostanay✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.45
–
Recent results
FK Tobol Kostanay – last 1
L
7 Mar
@ Aktobe
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Zhetysu – last 1
L
8 Mar
@ FC Astana
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Tobol Kostanay and Zhetysu.
What is the prediction for FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhetysu?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhetysu?
On our numbers FK Tobol Kostanay have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Zhetysu 13%.
How many goals will there be in FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhetysu?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhetysu?
Our predicted score is FK Tobol Kostanay 2–1 Zhetysu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhetysu?
FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhetysu (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Centralnyj Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
