Value bet: Ordabasy to win @ 2.25 – our chance 47% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOrdabasy to win ✓47% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Zhenys vs Ordabasy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 16 March the Premier League brings Zhenys against Ordabasy at Astana Arena. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Zhenys are 8th, upper half, on 36 points after 30 matches; Ordabasy are 1st (leading the league) with 68. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zhenys 1.1 xG, Ordabasy 1.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zhenys 28%, draw 24%, Ordabasy 47%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Ordabasy to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zhenys 1–1 Ordabasy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zhenys28%fair 3.52 · @2.88
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.20
Ordabasy47%fair 2.12 · @2.25
2.87Expected goals
1.14Zhenys xG
1.73Ordabasy xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–28%
1–06%
2–16%
From our goals model: Zhenys 1.1 – 1.7 Ordabasy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ordabasy to win✓
47%
2.12
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.73
Draw no bet
Ordabasy (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Zhenys +1 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Ordabasy to score first✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ordabasy / FT Ordabasy✗
31%
3.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
Zhenys – last 1
D
8 Mar
@ Kaisar
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Ordabasy
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zhenys and Ordabasy.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Zhenys vs Ordabasy?
On our numbers Zhenys have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ordabasy 47%.
How many goals will there be in Zhenys vs Ordabasy?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zhenys vs Ordabasy?
Our predicted score is Zhenys 1–1 Ordabasy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Zhenys vs Ordabasy?
Zhenys vs Ordabasy (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Astana Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
