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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kairat Almaty v FC Astana: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Almaty Central Stadium
4–0
FT
Kairat Almaty 44%Draw 26%FC Astana 30% Expected goals 1.28 – 0.99
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultKairat Almaty to win ✓44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.93

Kairat Almaty vs FC Astana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kairat Almaty welcome FC Astana to Almaty Central Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 5 April (14:00 WAT). In the table, Kairat Almaty are 2nd, among the top four, on 65 points after 30 matches; FC Astana are 3rd (among the top four) with 54.

Current form

Kairat Almaty, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Zhetysu, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

FC Astana, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FK Tobol Kostanay, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kairat Almaty 1.3 xG, FC Astana 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kairat Almaty 44%, draw 26%, FC Astana 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kairat Almaty 1–0 FC Astana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kairat Almaty44%fair 2.27 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.25
FC Astana30%fair 3.31 · @3.20
2.27Expected goals
1.28Kairat Almaty xG
0.99FC Astana xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Kairat Almaty 1.3 – 1.0 FC Astana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKairat Almaty to win ✓44%2.272.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.801.73
Draw no betKairat Almaty (draw no bet) ✓59%1.69–
Asian handicapFC Astana +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.461.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77%1.301.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreKairat Almaty to score first ✓51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kairat Almaty / FT Kairat Almaty ✓25%4.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.93–

Recent results

Kairat Almaty – last 3

DWW
21 Mar@ Zhetysu0–0D
16 Marvs Aktobe1–0W
7 Mar@ Altay1–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

FC Astana – last 3

WDW
20 Marvs FK Tobol Kostanay2–0W
16 Mar@ Kaisar0–0D
8 Marvs Zhetysu4–1W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kairat Almaty and FC Astana.

Kairat Almaty vs FC Astana head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kairat Almaty vs FC Astana?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Kairat Almaty vs FC Astana?

On our numbers Kairat Almaty have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FC Astana 30%.

How many goals will there be in Kairat Almaty vs FC Astana?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kairat Almaty vs FC Astana?

Our predicted score is Kairat Almaty 1–0 FC Astana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Kairat Almaty vs FC Astana?

Kairat Almaty vs FC Astana (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Almaty Central Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.